When will the next two-term president be elected? (user search)

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When will the next two-term president be elected? (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

In what year will America's next two-term president win his/her first term in office?

#1 He's already been elected-- DJT will win re-election		33 (26.4%)
#2 2020-- the Democrat who wins will be a two-term president		56 (44.8%)
#3 2024-- the Democrat who wins in 2020 will pass the torch to a younger Democrat		14 (11.2%)
#4 2024-- the Democrat who wins in 2020 will be defeated by a Republican, who will win a second term in office		11 (8.8%)
#5 2028-- we'll have three one-term presidents in a row		11 (8.8%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 124

Author

Topic: When will the next two-term president be elected? (Read 4269 times)

LabourJersey
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,186

Re: When will the next two-term president be elected?

« on: August 31, 2019, 02:34:38 PM »

I think the combination of polarization and economic/political instability in the next ten years or so will result in three one term presidents in a row.

If a Democrat is elected in 2020 and a recession happens under her/his watch, the Democrats will lose in 2024 to a Trump-esque Republican, who will probably be very unpopular and cause more instability, causing a Democratic win in 2028.

If a recession happens before Nov. 2020 and a Democrat wins, I still think polarization will give an edge to the Republicans in '24 since not much progressive legislation will get passed.

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LabourJersey
Sr. Member

Posts: 3,186

Re: When will the next two-term president be elected?

« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2019, 02:28:11 PM »

Quote from: TarHeelDem on August 31, 2019, 11:45:20 PM

2020: Warren
2024: Warren
2028: Castro
2032: Castro
2036: DeSantis
2040: Ocasio-Cortez

There's no way the US is going to have 16 years of Democratic presidents. We're too polarized for that right now.

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