Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,677
|
|
« on: September 08, 2019, 09:32:16 PM » |
|
Kansas: Continues to move toward Democrats, competitive in close presidential elections by 2028ish. Johnson county is likely going the way of Fairfax, VA and it has almost 1/4th of the statewide vote.
Alaska: Probably doesn't get much more liberal than it currently is. Very dependent on resource extraction industries and Democrats are very dependent on the rural native vote which could move right over time. Murkowski could switch parties or become a left leaning independent and get reelected, but that's about it in the short/medium term. Dunleavy still won pretty a majority in 2018, in a de facto GOP pickup.
Now, if we are talking about the very long run, i.e. Anchorage is taking on throngs of Millennial retirees due to the warming climate, then yes, the state could flip.
|