Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
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« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2019, 12:04:28 PM » |
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Note: I haven't looked at candidate financials, so this is more gut feeling.
Thanksgiving: 11-15. The marginal candidates will drop out in the next two months, but there will still be a lot with enough funding to hang on.
IA Caucases: 6-10. Probably closer to 10, but by now several will have blown through cash with zero hope of making a splash.
Super Tuesday: Biden, Warren, Sanders, Harris, and one dark horse candidate with enough delegates and money to hang on. Probably Pete. I can see Yang still in it, since I assume he can self-fund and he has a dedicated base of donors, but if things go badly he probably call it quits.
Northeastern Primaries: Biden and Warren fighting it out with no presumptive nominee, and Sanders way behind, but still raising funds and stubbornly staying in the race.
If Bernie does particularly badly, by April he may have already "suspended" his campaign, or he's "semi-suspended," keeping the lights on and a skeleton crew, hoping for a brokered convention. So, still technically in, but not really.
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