ME-AARP: Biden +6
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Author Topic: ME-AARP: Biden +6  (Read 1755 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: September 16, 2019, 07:46:12 PM »

https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2019/five-state-prescription-drug-survey.html
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NYDem
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2019, 09:20:34 PM »

Main Points:

Presidential: Biden 50 - Trump 44  (Biden +6)
Approval: Disapprove 53 - Approve 45  (-8 Approval)

Senate Generic Ballot: R 43 - D 42  (R+1)
Senate: Collins 52 - Gideon 35  (Collins +17)
Collins Approval: Approve 55 - Disapprove 41  (+14 Approval)
Collins Favorability: Favorable 49 - Unfavorable 41  (+8 Favorability)
Gideon Favorability: Favorable 16 - Unfavorable 12  (+4 Favorability)

Sample
Party Reg: Democratic 33 - Republican 32 - Independent 32
Ideology: Conservative 36 - Moderate 36 - Liberal 24
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AngryBudgie
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2019, 09:26:32 PM »

In what world is Biden winning Arizona and North Carolina by almost the exact margin as Maine?
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2019, 01:19:31 AM »

In what world is Biden winning Arizona and North Carolina by almost the exact margin as Maine?

In a world in which the current year isn’t 2004?
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TML
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2019, 01:23:42 AM »

This margin, if it holds, is probably not enough to flip northern Maine back (I think it will take a statewide margin of D+10 or more to accomplish that).
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2019, 01:48:41 AM »

This margin, if it holds, is probably not enough to flip northern Maine back (I think it will take a statewide margin of D+10 or more to accomplish that).

As if that was ever in doubt...

Oh wait, it’s Atlas.

<1% of Atlas.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
outofbox6
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2019, 12:28:33 PM »

I would not be surprised if Maine votes to the right of Arizona and North Carolina. It is a state with an aging white population.
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SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2019, 04:56:45 PM »

I would not be surprised if Maine votes to the right of Arizona and North Carolina. It is a state with an aging white population.

This. Hillary won it by a MUCH narrower margin than Obama.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: September 22, 2019, 05:06:45 PM »

These are AARP polls, not PPP polls and ME isnt voting to right of AZ or NC
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #9 on: September 22, 2019, 09:13:46 PM »

RE: Maine----

Northern Maine has some of the highest regions of poverty within New England, as well as compared to even many extremely impoverished communities elsewhere within the United States.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=267947.msg5741987#msg5741987

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=267947.msg5743056#msg5743056

Although these are only a few posts that I have made on the topic spring to mind, it is clear that Northern Maine, as well as a few similar Counties in Northern NH and VT which swung heavily towards Trump shared a few key items in common.

1.) Heavily dominance of French and French-Canadian Catholics.

2.) Massive decline of traditional manufacturing and resource based industries.

3.) Traditional resentment against the uneven nature of the recovery from the Great Recession, where although life was getting much better for folks in the larger cities, was not recovering at all in the rural ghettos and factory towns of America.

4.) Regardless of this particular poll, it is clear that there is still a large number of Obama '08/'12 > Trump '16 voters out there, who once again are more than happy to vote Democratic, so long as the Democrats nominate a candidate who will actually represent their voices and interests....

5.) There is still a strong support for many French and French-Canadians towards the Quebec Independence Movement, which after all Trump seems to support in general the concept of devolution and separatism in other parts of the world....

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48sQedAp0ME
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