Official Post your 2006 Senate Election Prediction Maps

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GOP gains MN, maybe NJ
Dems gain nothing

GOP +1 or +2

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Republicans: 56 (+1, Minnesota)
Democrats: 43 (-1)
Independents: 1

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Republicans: 56 (+1, Minnesota)
Democrats: 43 (-1)
Independents: 1

Kean will win New Jersey.

No

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Republicans: 56 (+1, Minnesota)
Democrats: 43 (-1)
Independents: 1

Kean will win New Jersey.

No

Oh...but he will.

No

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Republicans: 56 (+1, Minnesota)
Democrats: 43 (-1)
Independents: 1

Kean will win New Jersey.

No

Oh...but he will.

No

Yes.

I'm certainly surprised that you believed Kean will win.

After all, Bush was going to win 40 states.

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Kean’s polling a damn site better in New Jersey than Kennedy is in Minnesota and Menendez is certainly a weaker opponent than Klobuchar seems to be proving and yet you seem to think that Kennedy will win in MN, what’s more I wouldn’t be surprised to see Kean garner a whole load more cash than Kennedy, primarily from the big GOP donors in NY and the North East who simply don’t have any other local candidates to give to.   

What Bush winning 40 states has to do with it I don’t know though.

New Jersey is a much more Democratic state than Minnesota, in my mind.  2004, which saw Bush getting 46% in NJ, was an abberation, and the state has come back to earth.  The polling numbers are irrelevant, while Kean has a consistently small lead it's meaningless as both candidates are polling in the mid-30s. [And the newest Rasmussen poll has Menendez 39 Kean 36 actually].  By election day Menendez should win by about 2-3%.

Also, Kean may have money, but there's absolutely no way that he can outspend the NJ Democratic machine.  Past history shows us this.

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Connecticut and Rhode Island races depend entirely on the primary.  Obviously the Republicans can't win in Connecticut, but it could go Independent or Democratic.  Rhode Island is a dogfight with Chafee in the race and a walkover if he loses to Laffey in the primary.  Chafee really should run as a Democrat.  Hawaii also has an interesting primary with Ed Case being a little bitch but it'll go Democratic easily either way.

Changes from last time:

Minnesota from R --> D: Kennedy hasn't led in a poll yet.  If this race is just going to be generic democrat v. generic republican, which it is starting to look like, it's going to be very hard for Kennedy to win.

Montana from R --> D: Burns is clearly trailing at this instant.  He has time to catch up, but in reality, he has to be the underdog at this point.

Pennsylvania from R --> D: I decided to be sane for the hell of it.

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Updated

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Why the hell do you think Byrd will lose?

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2007 Senate Lineup: 51 R/47 D/2 I

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2007 Senate Lineup: 51 R/47 D/2 I

You apparently don't have much confidence in Lamont's chances of winning the general election vis-a-vis Lieberman, do you?

Lieberman is clearly the favorite to win.  That's not to say Lamont can't win; Lieberman was a favorite to win the primary too.

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D 49 R 49 I 1 Likud 1

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50 R 48 D 1 Friend of the Workers 1 Likud