Official Post your 2006 Senate Election Prediction Maps

[Joe Republic]

This is subject to change as new polls and information on candidates emerge:




Light blue/red: Very close election
Plain blue/red: Reasonably close
Dark blue/red: Wide margin of victory

My current prediction for the partisan breakdown of the 110th Senate: No change.

Republicans - 55
Democrats - 44
Independent - 1

[Joe Republic]

Here you go, Yates.


Edit:  I couldn't help noticing that you have NM and WV shaded dark blue.  Do you know something we don't?

[Joe Republic]

Thanks for stickying this, Tredrick.

[Joe Republic]

I think Brown will win Ohio

You think Brown will win Ohio?!?  I'm sorry to break this to you, but that won't be happening.  The only Dem who has even a remote chance of winning is Paul Hackett, and even then, it's a slim chance.

[Joe Republic]

Wikipedia is keeping a fairly useful summary of all the Senate elections next year:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/US_Senate_election%2C_2006 (near the bottom)

[Joe Republic]

The main thing thing that stands out with your map is Nevada.  I would have thought John Ensign is fairly safe, especially with his current opponent (Jack Carter).  Are you predicting a new entry into the race?

[Joe Republic]

Updated:




Light blue/red: Very close election
Plain blue/red: Reasonably close
Dark blue/red: Wide margin of victory

My current prediction for the partisan breakdown of the 110th Senate: Dems +1

Republicans - 54
Democrats - 45
Independent - 1

[Joe Republic]

Here's my prediction

I have areally good feeling that the Republicans will pull it out in MD and NJ. With MI I feel Stabenow is vunerable because 1. she is not a strong canidate at all 2. She was listed as one of the most incompentent Senators in the Senate 3. The Republicans picked a good canidate.     

I take it that as well as Michigan, you also haven't been paying much attention to West Virginia, Florida, North Dakota, Nebraska or New Mexico?

[Joe Republic]

Eeh, what can I say?  In December 2005, DeWine (an inoffensive moderate) was still leading in the most recent poll, and things were only just starting to shape up to be a wave mid-term.