Official Post your 2006 Senate Election Prediction Maps

[nini2287]

>30% Tossup
>60% Lean
>90% Solid

Only switches are NJ and PA.  The closest races that won't switch will be MN, MO, OH, MD and TN.  I was also very tempted to list NE as a tossup since I think that will be closer than people think.  Burns will win by at least 8-10 points in MT.

[nini2287]

Dems pick up 11 seats in the Senate and about 60 in the House.

If that map happens, I will send Harry $100.

[nini2287]

>30% Tossup
>50% Slight
>70% Lean
>90% Solid

My prediction among non-solid races:
AZ:  Kyl +16
CT:  Lieberman +22 (if Weicker runs)
FL:  Nelson +11
MD:  Cardin +4
MI:  Stabenow +20
MN:  Klobuchar +3
MO:  Talent +1
MT:  Burns +8
NE:  Nelson +13
NV:  Ensign +24
NJ:  Menendez +3
OH:  DeWine +2 (Hackett); DeWine +5 (Brown)
PA:  Casey +6
RI:  Chafee +7
TN:  GOP +2
WA:  Cantwell +11

[nini2287]

Dems pick up 11 seats in the Senate and about 60 in the House.

If that map happens, I will send Harry $100.

get the check ready...

I will be more than happy to if that happens

[nini2287]

You know, NM *is* having a Senate election this year, believe it or not.

Maybe if Bingaman would do something once in awhile, I would have noticed

[nini2287]

The Democrats will win in Virginia if and only if Mark Warner runs. Otherwise, Allen wins in a landslide.

Warner has officially ruled out a Senate run, so Allen will win (unless he gets "outted" - but that's a different story.

Arizona and Tennesse are both tossups, I just colored them with the color of the party more likely to win.

I don't really think Arizona is a tossup.  True, Kyl isn't the most popular guy in the world but he's still popular enough to get re-elected, polling over 50%, especially with the Democrats running the next best thing to a sacrifical lamb.

I also don't think Democrats have a shot at Nevada, although once again if those outting rumors turn out to be true and it's Ensign, then...

[nini2287]

Here's my prediction

I have areally good feeling that the Republicans will pull it out in MD and NJ. With MI I feel Stabenow is vunerable because 1. she is not a strong canidate at all 2. She was listed as one of the most incompentent Senators in the Senate 3. The Republicans picked a good canidate.     

I take it that as well as Michigan, you also haven't been paying much attention to West Virginia, Florida, North Dakota, Nebraska or New Mexico?

Let alone about 10 or 15 states decide to randomly hold Senate elections in their off year and all vote Republican?

(And Bernie Sanders loses in Vermont).

[nini2287]

Arizona:  Kyl 55, Pederson 45
Connecticut:  Lieberman 49, Lamont 44
Maryland:  Cardin 54, Steele 46
Michigan:  Stabenow 56, Bouchard 44
Minnesota:  Klobuchar 54, Kennedy 46
Missouri:  Talent 50, McCaskill 50 (GOP win)
Montana:  Tester 52, Burns 43
New Jersey:  Menendez 51, Kean 48
Ohio:  Brown 53, DeWine 47
Pennsylvania:  Casey 53, Santorum 46
Rhode Island:  Whitehouse 52, Chafee 48
Tennessee:  Ford 52, Corker 48
Virginia:  Allen 51, Webb 47
Washington:  Cantwell 55, McGavick 45