Official Post your 2006 Senate Election Prediction Maps

[°Leprechaun]

Tell me if you think I'm nuts.
 



https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2006/pred.php?action=indpred&id=1358


Comments (from prediction page)

I predicted New Jersey and Nevada switching because there is always the possibilty for surprises.

Most of all these predictions are really guesses, but based on the rasmussmen polls.

[°Leprechaun]

Since Lieberman says that he is a Democrat I will take him at his word.
Connecticut therefore will be Democrat whoever wins. For the purposes of this prediction Connecticut is 'red' and who wins is irrelevant (but only as far as the predicting the outcome).

[°Leprechaun]

Yeah, I think you're nuts. Nevada ain't gonna switch, Ensign is leading by a lot in most polls.

I was going by rasmussen which had Ensign at 46% back on 8/7 which is of course a very old poll. If there is a more recent one I would be interested to know. I admit that it is a long shot, but as I said, expect some surprises. If there are no surprises, than in itself would be a surprise.
The poll had Ensign's opponent at 39%, a 7% difference.

[°Leprechaun]

Yeah, I think you're nuts. Nevada ain't gonna switch, Ensign is leading by a lot in most polls.

I was going by rasmussen which had Ensign at 46% back on 8/7 which is of course a very old poll. If there is a more recent one I would be interested to know. I admit that it is a long shot, but as I said, expect some surprises. If there are no surprises, than in itself would be a surprise.
The poll had Ensign's opponent at 39%, a 7% difference.

Two most recent polls: Mason-Dixon at 10th of August giving ENsign a 21%lead, 54 to 33 and Survery USA a couple of weeks ago ,also saying a 21% lead (56 to 35). Ensign has constantly been ahead by double digits in all polls save for that one Rasmussen poll.

OK, but I think I'll stay with my predictions as is.  Although in my confidence map I pretty much conceded that anything can happen. If I start changing my predictions now I will risk even greater failure.
Call me nuts, but then I am what I eat.

[°Leprechaun]

check out how this site's analysis has changed over time

from 8-12:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2006/Maps/Aug12.html

to the present

http://www.electoral-vote.com/