Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps (user search)
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  Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps  (Read 71378 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,736


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: March 05, 2006, 08:09:06 PM »

Somewhat optimistic, hopefully Democrats can't catch Arnold and fall behind in PA.

Arnold is toast.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,736


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: March 05, 2006, 08:15:00 PM »

Somewhat optimistic, hopefully Democrats can't catch Arnold and fall behind in PA.

Arnold is toast.

Polls show a tie, despite him having seemingly bottomed out in approval ratings.   I would hardly say that the idiot is done.

All that means is that Arnold has way more name recognition then his opponents. Arnold hasn't broken 40% against either Democrat in the last 4 polls. That's terrible for an incumbent.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,736


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: March 05, 2006, 08:22:26 PM »


There's a race where all the candidates have very high name recognition, and I could have sworn it was California.  What are the other two's name recognition numbers?

Busted, Bush apoligist.

Ratings in the Field poll released a couple of days ago:

Schwarzenegger: 44% favorable, 49% unfavorable, 7% no opinion
Angelides: 24% favorable, 13% unfavorable, 63% no opinion
Westly: 19% favorable, 9% unfavorable, 72% no opinion.



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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,736


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: March 05, 2006, 08:23:25 PM »

Somewhat optimistic, hopefully Democrats can't catch Arnold and fall behind in PA.
Arnold is toast.

Election:  8 months away.
No one knows any better than anyone else who will win, and I think he will.

If all predictions are equally likely, why don't you predict that Senators Kennedy and Hatch will both be defeated?
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,736


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: March 05, 2006, 08:46:23 PM »


There's a race where all the candidates have very high name recognition, and I could have sworn it was California.  What are the other two's name recognition numbers?

Busted, Bush apoligist.

Ratings in the Field poll released a couple of days ago:

Schwarzenegger: 44% favorable, 49% unfavorable, 7% no opinion
Angelides: 24% favorable, 13% unfavorable, 63% no opinion
Westly: 19% favorable, 9% unfavorable, 72% no opinion.

I was asking you because I wasn't certain if my memory was right.  Evidently, it wasn't, and I accept that.  Why am I "busted"?

63% and 72% no opinion vs. 7% no opinion is a sign of lower name recognition. Amazing rocket science, huh?
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