I'm sorry, but I disagree. This is a libertarian-cloaked in Evangelism governor, in a like-minded state.
I haven't seen any Sanford signs around here in Lexington County, but I have seen quite a few Lovelace signs. Sanford has managed this past year to keep making the people who should be supporting him look for an alternative, and at this point, if he wins the primary it will be purely because of the power of being the incumbent and the fund-raising that goes with it. In seven months he's gone from a net +18% approval to a net +3% approval and if he keeps slipping at this rate, he'll be down to a net -10% disapproval rating by the primary. If Sanford gets into a fourth lackluster sparring round with the General Assembly again, the question won't be will Moore be able to beat Sanford, it'll be can Lovelace repeat beating the political pro a second time come November.
All that said, I still expect Sanford to get four more years, but it isn't anywhere near a lock, especially if we get more of Sanford's dog and pony show instead of something he can point to as an accomplishment.
