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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Speaker YE, Senator ON Progressive)
  Iowa State-Civiqs (IA): Warren 24, Biden 16, Sanders 16, Buttigieg 13
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Author Topic: Iowa State-Civiqs (IA): Warren 24, Biden 16, Sanders 16, Buttigieg 13  (Read 1117 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 18, 2019, 09:12:26 am »

Among Likely Caucus Goers:

Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts 24%
Joe Biden, former vice president of the United States 16%
Bernie Sanders, U.S. senator from Vermont 16%
Pete Buttigieg, mayor of South Bend, Indiana 13%
Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California 5%
Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. representative from Hawaii 4%
Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota 3%
Andrew Yang, businessman 3%
Tom Steyer, businessman 2%
Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey 2%
Beto O'Rourke, former U.S. representative from Texas 2%
Marianne Williamson, author and activist 1%
Tim Ryan, U.S. representative from Ohio 1%
Steve Bullock, governor of Montana 0%
Julian Castro, former U.S. secretary of Housing and Urban Development 0%
Michael Bennet, U.S. senator from Colorado 0%
John Delaney, former U.S. representative from Maryland 0%
Bill de Blasio, mayor of New York City 0% Unsure 8%

Source
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Arch
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2019, 09:14:28 am »

The Warren buildup is real.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2019, 09:17:49 am »

While this poll seems an outlier at the moment, I wouldn't be surprised if this is close to the actual result.
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Pollster
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2019, 09:21:13 am »

Multiple polls now appear to show Buttigieg gaining ground back in Iowa
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Queen Liz <3
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2019, 09:30:54 am »

NUT
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2019, 09:31:25 am »

Is this a qualifying poll for Tulsi?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2019, 09:51:17 am »


Doubt it
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2019, 10:40:18 am »

lol these Iowa polls are nuts!

Ann Selzer, where art thou?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2019, 10:43:03 am »


No.
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(CT) The Free North
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2019, 11:17:12 am »


Especially in Iowa, I think the state is a good match for her and the caucus system should be favorable to her.
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SN2903
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2019, 11:22:44 am »

Nice # for Tulsi
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2019, 11:24:31 am »

Great, Warren will win IA, Biden will gaffes are gonna do him in
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2019, 06:59:35 pm »

Civiqs/Date for Progres released 3 polls.  They all looks horrid.  (Roll my eyes) I guess the person that is more consistent with their politics just happened to leading in all 3 of their polls despite that isn't so for the rest of the polls. 

https://www.dataforprogress.org/rpdr

Also RuPaul drag race??  hmm.. 
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2019, 01:14:22 pm »

2016 Clinton caucus voters:
Warren 30%
Biden 24%
Buttigieg 14%
Harris 6%
Klobuchar 6%
[Sanders at 1%]

2016 Sanders caucus voters:
Sanders 33%
Warren 22%
Buttigieg 10%
Gabbard 7%
Biden 5%

2nd choices of all Dems in the sample:
Warren 18%
Buttigieg 14%
Harris 11%
Biden 11%
Sanders 10%
Gabbard 6%
Booker 4%
Steyer 4%
Klobuchar 3%
O’Rourke 3%
Yang 2%
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Georgia Is A Swing State
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« Reply #14 on: September 21, 2019, 02:06:06 pm »

2016 Clinton caucus voters:
[Sanders at 1%]

2016 Sanders caucus voters:
Sanders 33%
Someone tell me again how this man with 100% name ID is going to win this primary while converting little to NONE of the people who voted for his 2016 opponent and only retaining 1/3 of his support from the last time he ran.
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« Reply #15 on: September 21, 2019, 02:32:03 pm »

Very good poll far Warren (and for Trump).
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HokeyDood
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« Reply #16 on: September 21, 2019, 03:31:28 pm »
« Edited: September 21, 2019, 03:37:26 pm by HokeyDood »

2016 Clinton caucus voters:
[Sanders at 1%]

2016 Sanders caucus voters:
Sanders 33%
Someone tell me again how this man with 100% name ID is going to win this primary while converting little to NONE of the people who voted for his 2016 opponent and only retaining 1/3 of his support from the last time he ran.

Gloriously simple math when you consider a two person field vs. a 20-person one (not to mention he'll undoubtedly be way ahead among first time caucus goers) but don't let that get in the way of your anti-Sanders (anti-Semitic perhaps?) crying.  

Sad to see so many ungrateful teengers bash the kind ol' fella who just wants you to have healthcare when your poor diets and lack of exercise leaves you with The Diabeetus.  No worries, he's not going to care that you relentlessly bashed him while squealing like preteen girls at a Jonas Brothers concert over candidates that are piggybacking off what he started, he'll give you your M4A anyway.  What a guy!
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #17 on: September 21, 2019, 04:53:02 pm »

2016 Clinton caucus voters:
[Sanders at 1%]

2016 Sanders caucus voters:
Sanders 33%
Someone tell me again how this man with 100% name ID is going to win this primary while converting little to NONE of the people who voted for his 2016 opponent and only retaining 1/3 of his support from the last time he ran.
It's a vanity run at this point.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #18 on: September 21, 2019, 06:21:02 pm »

2016 Clinton caucus voters:
[Sanders at 1%]

2016 Sanders caucus voters:
Sanders 33%
Someone tell me again how this man with 100% name ID is going to win this primary while converting little to NONE of the people who voted for his 2016 opponent and only retaining 1/3 of his support from the last time he ran.

Gloriously simple math when you consider a two person field vs. a 20-person one (not to mention he'll undoubtedly be way ahead among first time caucus goers) but don't let that get in the way of your anti-Sanders (anti-Semitic perhaps?) crying.  

Sad to see so many ungrateful teengers bash the kind ol' fella who just wants you to have healthcare when your poor diets and lack of exercise leaves you with The Diabeetus.  No worries, he's not going to care that you relentlessly bashed him while squealing like preteen girls at a Jonas Brothers concert over candidates that are piggybacking off what he started, he'll give you your M4A anyway.  What a guy!

When Lief did that shtick it was funny. With you, not so much.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #19 on: September 21, 2019, 07:27:30 pm »

So multiple polls this week now show both Warren leading and Buttigieg rising
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #20 on: September 21, 2019, 10:21:20 pm »

Very good poll far Warren (and for Trump).

Carter's people thought Reagan unelectable.  Trump already has a Presidency similarly troubled (if for different reasons, as Carter was a man of integrity. Americans despise corruption irrespective of partisan identity and region.

The right choice for Democrats is the nominee who most repudiates a President devoid of virtues.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #21 on: September 21, 2019, 10:38:11 pm »

The GOP thinks Warren is unelectable, she will pick a strong Veep nominee to move to the center.
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Mondale
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« Reply #22 on: September 21, 2019, 10:52:27 pm »

Biden is finished
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #23 on: September 21, 2019, 10:57:14 pm »

This isnt nothing new. As a result of Veeps stepping out of their presidential shadow: Bush I (Iran Contra), Gore (Lewinsky) and now Biden, they have to run on their own behalf, and Biden, like the others, dont look so great, without Obama
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roxas11
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« Reply #24 on: September 22, 2019, 12:23:06 am »
« Edited: September 22, 2019, 12:26:53 am by roxas11 »

Very good poll far Warren (and for Trump).

wow you gave me flashbacks of the 2016 GOP primary race


Very good poll for Trump (and for Hillary ) lol


The lesson then and now is never understatement your opponent....



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