2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 186994 times)
Torrain
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« Reply #50 on: October 11, 2019, 06:17:00 AM »
Any word on when Iowa's getting polled again? We've had nothing since the Seltzer poll.

I know it's only October, but so many candidates are focused on Iowa this cycle, and there's been radio silence for the last three weeks.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #51 on: October 12, 2019, 06:12:31 PM »
New CBS/YouGov polls from IA, NH, SC, and maybe NV tomorrow morning.
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Torrain
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #52 on: October 13, 2019, 08:19:08 AM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on October 12, 2019, 06:12:31 PM
New CBS/YouGov polls from IA, NH, SC, and maybe NV tomorrow morning.

Great, will be good to get an updated view of the field.
Any more info?
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #53 on: October 13, 2019, 07:19:51 PM »
Jon Ralston commissioned a poll for NV due out some time this month.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #54 on: October 13, 2019, 09:53:28 PM »
For some reason, Nevada is always treated like red headed stepchild of the early states. It's pretty dumb especially considering what an important role it played in the 2016 Democratic Primary.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #55 on: October 13, 2019, 11:47:10 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 13, 2019, 09:53:28 PM
For some reason, Nevada is always treated like red headed stepchild of the early states. It's pretty dumb especially considering what an important role it played in the 2016 Democratic Primary.

After the fact. But it really didnt receive much press while it was occuring and was quickly drowned out by Hillary's 47% win a week later.
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YE
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« Reply #56 on: October 13, 2019, 11:50:37 PM »
NV is also really hard to poll, especially since it’s a Caucus state.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #57 on: October 20, 2019, 03:06:55 PM »
New Iowa Suffolk poll taken entirely after the last debate will be out tomorrow morning. I believe it counts as a qualifying poll.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SusanPage/status/1186008654996217859
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #58 on: October 20, 2019, 03:14:55 PM »
Quote from: Cinemark on October 20, 2019, 03:06:55 PM
New Iowa Suffolk poll taken entirely after the last debate will be out tomorrow morning. I believe it counts as a qualifying poll.

https://mobile.twitter.com/SusanPage/status/1186008654996217859

Expect a sick amount of undecideds (20-30%) ... => Suffolk.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #59 on: October 20, 2019, 03:38:31 PM »
The last poll they did for IA was back in July, and you can tell that by the numbers they got:
Biden- 24%
Harris- 16%
Warren- 13%
Sanders- 9%
Buttigieg- 6%

Expect some pretty wild shifts.
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Gracile
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« Reply #60 on: October 20, 2019, 06:00:10 PM »
I think Warren will get a boost from their last poll, while Harris will probably falter pretty badly. If I had to predict I'd say:

Warren 26%
Biden 21%
Sanders 14%
Buttigieg 8%
Harris 4%
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Ronnie
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« Reply #61 on: October 20, 2019, 07:10:35 PM »
I'll predict:

Biden 26%
Warren 23%
Buttigieg 17%
Sanders 12%
The rest: who cares
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Torrain
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« Reply #62 on: October 21, 2019, 05:44:12 AM »
Results are in, in article form
Undecided at 29%
Biden at 18%
Warren at 17%
Buttigieg at 13%
Sanders at 9%
Steyer, Klobuchar, Harris, Gabbard at 3%

https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2019/10/21/iowa-caucuses-pete-buttigieg-elizabeth-warren-joe-biden-top-poll/4025797002/
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #63 on: October 21, 2019, 12:13:51 PM »
A new qualifying NH poll by the Univ. of NH should be out the next couple days.

It is always fielded in October and we are almost done with the month and last year it was released around this time.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #64 on: October 22, 2019, 03:15:56 PM »
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #65 on: October 23, 2019, 02:36:39 PM »
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Cinemark
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« Reply #66 on: October 23, 2019, 02:42:20 PM »
Could be a very important poll for Klobuchar. She was at 2% in the last Quinnipiac poll. If she gets a 1 point boost, shes in the next debate.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #67 on: October 23, 2019, 02:57:14 PM »
Quote from: The Other Castro on October 23, 2019, 02:36:39 PM


Ugh, just as Bernie was starting to catch back up a little...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #68 on: October 28, 2019, 01:13:27 PM »
Do we know of anything noteworthy coming out this week?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #69 on: October 28, 2019, 01:15:39 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 28, 2019, 01:13:27 PM
Do we know of anything noteworthy coming out this week?

Maybe the UNH poll that I mentioned earlier ...
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #70 on: October 28, 2019, 01:45:56 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 28, 2019, 01:15:39 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 28, 2019, 01:13:27 PM
Do we know of anything noteworthy coming out this week?

Maybe the UNH poll that I mentioned earlier ...

UNH confirmed for this week.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
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« Reply #71 on: November 01, 2019, 07:12:25 PM »
Quote from: Fubart Solman on October 13, 2019, 07:19:51 PM
Jon Ralston commissioned a poll for NV due out some time this month.



This poll should be out “soon” and is a DNC qualifying poll.
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Gracile
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« Reply #72 on: November 02, 2019, 12:56:23 PM »
NYT/Siena General Election matchups in a bunch of battleground states will be released on Monday:
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #73 on: November 02, 2019, 01:05:07 PM »
Quote from: gracile on November 02, 2019, 12:56:23 PM
NYT/Siena General Election matchups in a bunch of battleground states will be released on Monday

My predictions, because why not:

Michigan: Biden +6, Sanders +7, Warren +4
Pennsylvania: Biden +7, Sanders +5, Warren +5
Wisconsin: Biden +5, Sanders +6, Warren +5
Florida: Biden +3, Sanders +3, Warren +2
Arizona: Biden +4, Sanders +2, Warren +2
North Carolina: Tie, Sanders +1, Trump +1
Iowa: Biden +1, Sanders +4, Warren +2
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #74 on: November 02, 2019, 01:36:20 PM »
Buttigiegs GE poll numbers in IA should be interesting ...

There have been no GE polls with him vs. Trump so far and he should be most known to voters in IA.
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