Morning Consult: Biden 32, Sanders 20, Warren 18

[Skye]

Biden 32
Sanders 20
Warren 18
Harris 6
Buttigieg 5
O'Rourke 4
Booker 3
Yang 3
Klobuchar 2
Bullock, Castro, Delaney, Gabbard, Ryan, Steyer, Williamsom 1
Bennet, de Blasio 0

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

[Roronoa D. Law]

Castro unfavorable sure did soar

[Gass3268]

Changes from last week:

Biden 32 (-1)
Sanders 20 (-1)
Warren 18 (+2)
Harris 6 (-1)
Buttigieg 5 (-)
O'Rourke 4 (+1)
Booker 3 (-)
Yang 3 (-)
Klobuchar 2 (+1)
Bullock 1 (+1)
Castro 1 (-)
Delaney 1 (-)
Gabbard 1 (-)
Ryan 1 (-)
Steyer 1 (-)
Williamsom 1 (-)
Bennet (-1)
de Blasio 0 (-1)

[libertpaulian]

Mayor Pete still in the Top 5.  Maybe he can be the one to take on the Top 3 as Harris' star fades.

[Politician]

Mayor Pete still in the Top 5.  Maybe he can be the one to take on the Top 3 as Harris' star fades.

He's literally at 5% LMAO

[Rookie Yinzer]

Harris!

What's sad is that it didn't have to be this way..... her taking bold stances on certain things instead of being fearful of her own shadow could have changed the game.

Warren continues to make me proud!

[wbrocks67]

Harris still has time, but time is running out.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

She did nothing to set her apart from other candidates in the debate. Harris stopped attacking, as a result, her polls dropped.

Harris doesnt have to do what she did to Biden, in the first debate, but she should of did something, to steer the debate fron Warren or Biden.


Bernie's voice hobbled him thru-out the debate

[Mr. Morden]

Note that while they normally release poll #s for an entire week, this one was only done Sept. 13-15, so it's all post-debate.

[libertpaulian]

Mayor Pete still in the Top 5.  Maybe he can be the one to take on the Top 3 as Harris' star fades.

He's literally at 5% LMAO

6% Harris ain't too much better. 

[soundchaser]

I wouldn't be surprised to see Warren leading the next YouGov poll, at this rate.

[OneJ]

2nd Choice #s:

Biden Supporters:
28% Sanders
26% Warren
10% Harris

Sanders Supporters:
29% Biden
28% Warren
7% Harris

Warren Supporters:
23% Sanders
22% Biden
16% Harris

Harris Supporters:
28% Warren
18% Biden
12% Sanders

Buttigieg Supporters:
25% Warren
23% Biden
13% Harris

[Sir Mohamed]

2nd Choice #s:

Biden Supporters:
28% Sanders
26% Warren
10% Harris

Sanders Supporters:
29% Biden
28% Warren
7% Harris

Warren Supporters:
23% Sanders
22% Biden
16% Harris

Harris Supporters:
28% Warren
18% Biden
12% Sanders

Buttigieg Supporters:
25% Warren
23% Biden
13% Harris

What I don't get is why Biden supporters 2nd choice is Sanders and vise versa. The one is the leader of the progressive wing and the other the leading moderate. How does that fit together, or is this only about presumed "electability"/name rec?

[Eraserhead]

2nd Choice #s:

Biden Supporters:
28% Sanders
26% Warren
10% Harris

Sanders Supporters:
29% Biden
28% Warren
7% Harris

Warren Supporters:
23% Sanders
22% Biden
16% Harris

Harris Supporters:
28% Warren
18% Biden
12% Sanders

Buttigieg Supporters:
25% Warren
23% Biden
13% Harris

Warren should hope that Harris calls it a day if those numbers are accurate.

[OneJ]

2nd Choice #s:

Biden Supporters:
28% Sanders
26% Warren
10% Harris

Sanders Supporters:
29% Biden
28% Warren
7% Harris

Warren Supporters:
23% Sanders
22% Biden
16% Harris

Harris Supporters:
28% Warren
18% Biden
12% Sanders

Buttigieg Supporters:
25% Warren
23% Biden
13% Harris

What I don't get is why Biden supporters 2nd choice is Sanders and vise versa. The one is the leader of the progressive wing and the other the leading moderate. How does that fit together, or is this only about presumed "electability"/name rec?

I feel that electability/name rec does play a big role in this + the fact that Bernie and Joe's bases overlap with each other (working-class people and/or individuals without a college degree, a good portion of them are not white). Of course, the media overlooks this and just think it's just Sanders and Warren fighting for pretty much the exact same base.

Warren should hope that Harris calls it a day if those numbers are accurate.

I'm thinking the same.

[eric82oslo]

New week, Warren keeps rising, now passing Sanders for second:

https://twitter.com/MorningConsult/status/1176256409744396289

I believe Yang has reached 3% in early states for the first time.

[eric82oslo]

Net favorability:

1. Sanders: +53%
2. Warren: +52%
3. Biden: +50%

4. Harris: +35%
5. Pete: +34%
6. Booker: +33%
7. Beto: +30%
8. Yang: +24%
9. Klobuchar: +23%

10. Gabbard: +9%
11. Castro: +8%
12. Bennet: +7%
12. Steyer: +7%
14. Bullock: +4%
14. Delaney: +4%
16. Ryan: +3%

17. Williamson: -3%

[Mr. Morden]

Don't we normally have a new thread for each week's poll?

[Crumpets]

17. Williamson: -3%

Say what you will about Williamson, she is a likeable person. If we as a party can't pull a "Don't always agree with her, but nice lady, FF" for Williamson, then I think we should all just lighten up a bit.

[eric82oslo]

17. Williamson: -3%

Say what you will about Williamson, she is a likeable person. If we as a party can't pull a "Don't always agree with her, but nice lady, FF" for Williamson, then I think we should all just lighten up a bit.

I agree, although I think it's even worse that serious politicians like Castro, Gabbard and Steyer are judged so harshly though. Does not reflect well on the Democratic party among independents and other voters in my view (Green, Libertarian, conservatives).

[Torrain]

17. Williamson: -3%

Say what you will about Williamson, she is a likeable person. If we as a party can't pull a "Don't always agree with her, but nice lady, FF" for Williamson, then I think we should all just lighten up a bit.

I agree, although I think it's even worse that serious politicians like Castro, Gabbard and Steyer are judged so harsh though. Does not reflect well on the Democratic party among independent and other voters in my view (Green, Libertarian, conservatives).

I get your point, but I would posit that the low approvals for individuals like Williamson are more to do with their position in the race, remaining long after they have any chance of victory, as much as it is about the quality of their candidacy.