LA-Gov: Who will come in 2nd?

[ElectionsGuy]

This is now a very open question.

[Politician]

John Bel Edwards will come in 2nd because of polorization

Accidentally voted Abraham, but I meant Rispone.

[DaWN]

Abraham. There's literally been one poll showing Rispone ahead of him. Don't overreact.

[ElectionsGuy]

Abraham. There's literally been one poll showing Rispone ahead of him. Don't overreact.

One poll but Rispone has been steadily gaining in all the others leading up in the past month.

John Bel Edwards will come in 2nd because of polorization

Accidentally voted Abraham, but I meant Rispone.

You can change it.

[Xing]

I'll guess Abraham for now, but I wouldn't be surprised if Rispone ended up getting second.

[Skunk]

This seems like a similar dynamic to Kevin Stitt's rise and Jeff Johnson's upset over Tim Pawlenty, so I'm gonna go with Rispone.

[Nutmeg]

Pill-pushing no longer is a good look.

[henster]

Abraham's CD doesn't carry a lot of weight, most of GOP base is in the 1st. Rispone will clean up everywhere else.

[DINGO Joe]

Well, Rispone is spending his own money and is constantly on the air and even ran an ad attacking Abraham.  Abraham hasn't been able to run much media cause he ain't got no money, but he continues to dominate endorsements from R officials and in fact picked up more endorsements after the Rispone attack ad.  So, it's a matter of which matters more, TV or party endorsement/organization.

Nobody has gone after Abraham for his pill pusher past (obviously Edwards would if there is a runoff) and why Rispone hasn't used it I don't know, though Rispone's ads have been pretty simple ones thus far.

I haven't voted in the poll yet as it's too close to call at this point.

[DINGO Joe]

Abraham's CD doesn't carry a lot of weight, most of GOP base is in the 1st. Rispone will clean up everywhere else.

Abraham's district is a gangly mess that will hopefully disappear in the next redistricting, with most of North Louisiana in one district and the Southern districts pushing into Avoyelles and Rapides as needed.

[Oryxslayer]

Abraham's CD doesn't carry a lot of weight, most of GOP base is in the 1st. Rispone will clean up everywhere else.

Abraham's district is a gangly mess that will hopefully disappear in the next redistricting, with most of North Louisiana in one district and the Southern districts pushing into Avoyelles and Rapides as needed.

If JBE wins and Dems are able to keep the GOP from dual supermajorities, we may see the return of LA's second AA seat. The numbers are there (in 2010 Katrina hurt New Orleans's AA pop numbers), it's very easy to draw, the AA caucus would be pushing hard for it, and there's probably no love lost between JBE, Abraham, and maybe even the state GOP (Abraham lost a winnable race) after this campaign.

[MT Treasurer]

John Bel Edwards will come in 2nd because of polorization

+ inelasticity

[We Live in Black and White]

Rispone will be First Loser when Edwards knocks both of them out in the first round.

[KaiserDave]

John Bel Edwards will come in 2nd because of polorization

+ inelasticity

Don't forget that red states don't elect Dem governors but blue states elect GOP ones!

[Xing]

Gonna change my vote to Rispone, though it might not end up mattering.

[The Arizonan]

John Bel Edwards will come in 2nd because of polorization

+ inelasticity

Don't forget that red states don't elect Dem governors but blue states elect GOP ones!

Kansas, North Carolina, and Louisiana have Democratic governors.