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November 17, 2019, 07:40:25 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Speaker YE, Senator ON Progressive)
  Monmouth-NH: Warren 27, Biden 25, Sanders 12, Buttigieg 10
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Author Topic: Monmouth-NH: Warren 27, Biden 25, Sanders 12, Buttigieg 10  (Read 1154 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 24, 2019, 11:02:49 am »

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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2019, 11:06:26 am »

Warren-mentum!
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Skye
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2019, 11:07:58 am »

There's also this:

Favorability:
Biden 66/24 (80/14 in May)
Warren 74/19 (63/24 in May)

Biden campaign ought to prioritize early states. His lead in SC and other Super Tuesday states might not remain as strong if he loses both IA and NH (maybe NV too).
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gay gay gay bathhouses
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2019, 11:08:49 am »

Well then. Looks like I'm voting Warren in 2020 if this holds up.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2019, 11:13:16 am »

LOL Sanders.
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Zaybay
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2019, 11:13:42 am »

If Warren can keep her current position, she looks kinda set to possibly win the nomination, or at least duke it out with Biden.
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Georgia Is A Swing State
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2019, 11:15:57 am »

SHOOK.
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(CT) The Free North
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2019, 11:16:03 am »

Sanders is the clear loser of the Warren surge and I don't see what he can do differently to win over new voters. Everyone's heard his stump speech before and if they havent taken to it yet, whats going to change their mind down the road?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2019, 11:16:47 am »

LOL Harris.

And so glad to see Mayor Pete still climbing!
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jaichind
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2019, 11:16:48 am »

Wow.  If Warren wins IA NH and NV she has a real shot of beating back the Biden landslides in the South.
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Still couldn't quell the Bel
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2019, 11:18:04 am »

Speaking as someone who likes Sanders, if he can't do better than this in NH, he really needs to think about dropping out and endorsing Warren. Warren is ideologically very similar to him, so if she wins, his goal of influencing policy within the Democratic Party will have been a big success.
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AngryBudgie
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2019, 11:22:05 am »

Jeez...
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Arch
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2019, 11:25:13 am »

As I was saying...

So, Warren is positioned to potentially win all of IA, NH, and NV. Well, that would be a wrap if she manages it.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2019, 11:27:00 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2019, 11:27:36 am »

Well, that's disappointing.

NH polling has been all over the place though.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2019, 11:29:06 am »

This is a huge blow to Sanders if these numbers are accurate. No way he can win without NH. But I would also say the same to Warren. Warren has clearly taken the 2nd place spot now, even if the national polling is still close. The early states (sadly) are still definitive to the 'narrative' of success to each campaign.

And thank god Tulsi qualified. Now I can't wait to see CNN's gameshow to see if there are two debates and if so who's paired up with who. I would love to see a Tulsi vs Kamala KO round 2!
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JG
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2019, 11:29:06 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...

Except that her favorability numbers show she has a lot of room to grow.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: September 24, 2019, 11:30:49 am »

This is a huge blow to Sanders if these numbers are accurate. No way he can win without NH. But I would also say the same to Warren. Warren has clearly taken the 2nd place spot now, even if the national polling is still close. The early states (sadly) are still definitive to the 'narrative' of success to each campaign.

And thank god Tulsi qualified. Now I can't wait to see CNN's gameshow to see if there are two debates and if so who's paired up with who. I would love to see a Tulsi vs Kamala KO round 2!

Tulsi will be gunning for Warren this time.
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AngryBudgie
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« Reply #18 on: September 24, 2019, 11:31:53 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...

Possibly, but unlike Harris and Pete(and the 2016 Republican primary field), her rise has been slow and steady. That points to her actually winning over voters and not being the flavor of the month.  
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: September 24, 2019, 11:32:37 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...

Except that her favorability numbers show she has a lot of room to grow.

But also a lot of room and time left for the others to attack her ...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: September 24, 2019, 11:32:49 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...

Warren isn't a flavor of the month candidate. She runs a good campaign and her opponents aren't some unknowns with room to grow.
And who says that she has peaked?
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Corbyn is a Strasserist
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« Reply #21 on: September 24, 2019, 11:33:07 am »

If Warren can keep her current position, she looks kinda set to possibly win the nomination, or at least duke it out with Biden.

Yeah, the big thing is that if she wins the first two, she essentially knocks out Sanders.

Biden's going to be very hard to defeat long-term because of his strong support among blue-collar and black voters, but this will get her into a one-on-one fight with him, which is what she needs.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #22 on: September 24, 2019, 11:35:42 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...

Except that her favorability numbers show she has a lot of room to grow.

And unlike a Harris or an O'Rourke, her rise has been incredibly linear overtime, and not just some reaction by soft supporters to a single breakout moment.
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« Reply #23 on: September 24, 2019, 11:36:35 am »

Warren might be peaking 2-3 months too early ...

Except that her favorability numbers show she has a lot of room to grow.

And unlike a Harris or an O'Rourke, her rise has been incredibly linear overtime, and not just some reaction by soft supporters to a single breakout moment.

Exactly. That's how you build a hard coalition of supporters, which is incredibly hard to break afterwards.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #24 on: September 24, 2019, 11:46:25 am »

Disappointed in Yang's number, but ecstatic about Gabbard's. Smiley
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