Poll overperformance in 2016
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  Poll overperformance in 2016
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Junior Chimp
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« on: September 24, 2019, 01:34:19 PM »

Based on the poll averages from 2016, I've determined who overperformed the polls in each state:



Generally, the polls underestimate polarization; only ME, NH, MA, DE, and TX overestimated the party that won them. In VA, GA, and AZ the polls were within 1% of the final result.
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2019, 01:50:36 PM »

Which poll average did you use?
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2019, 02:02:08 PM »

Based on the poll averages from 2016, I've determined who overperformed the polls in each state:

Generally, the polls underestimate polarization; only ME, NH, MA, DE, and TX overestimated the party that won them. In VA, GA, and AZ the polls were within 1% of the final result.

Wait, what parties do the colors symbolize?
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morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2019, 01:33:08 AM »

Based on the poll averages from 2016, I've determined who overperformed the polls in each state:

Generally, the polls underestimate polarization; only ME, NH, MA, DE, and TX overestimated the party that won them. In VA, GA, and AZ the polls were within 1% of the final result.

Wait, what parties do the colors symbolize?


Yeah I would be lying if I said I wasnt lost
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