Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: South Carolina (user search)
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: South Carolina (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who will win the South Carolina Democratic Primary?
#1
Joe Biden
 
#2
Cory Booker
 
#3
Pete Buttigieg
 
#4
Julian Castro
 
#5
Kamala Harris
 
#6
Amy Klobuchar
 
#7
Beto O'Rourke
 
#8
Bernie Sanders
 
#9
Elizabeth Warren
 
#10
Andrew Yang
 
#11
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 89

Author Topic: Predict the Democratic Primaries Round 2: South Carolina  (Read 1330 times)
redjohn
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,685


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
« on: December 01, 2019, 06:09:31 PM »

Biden will win SC.

If he wins by less than 10, his campaign is over. It would mean he lost IA, NH, and NV, and probably didn't come in 2nd in at least 2 of the 3 earlier contests. He needs to have a very, very good result here to make up for the failures of the earlier contests if he loses those.

My prediction, assuming Biden loses IA, NH, and barely loses NV, is this:

Biden: 43%
Sanders: 31%
Warren: 13%
Buttigieg: 7%
Others: 6%
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