September Gubernatorial Predictions
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Author Topic: September Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 624 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: September 27, 2019, 03:14:23 PM »
August. No change in KY and MS for me, but massive change in Louisiana in favor of Rispone and Edwards.

Kentucky

Bevin: 51%
Beshear: 46%

Louisiana

Edwards: 50%
Rispone: 25%
Abraham: 20%
Others: 5%

If runoff does happen my prediction is this...

Edwards: 53%
Rispone or Abraham: 47%

Mississippi

Reeves: 54%
Hood: 45%
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2019, 03:22:35 PM »
Kentucky
Bevin - 54%
Beshear - 43%

Louisiana (currently unsure whether or not a run-off happens)
Edwards - 49%
Rispone - 23%
Abraham - 20%

Run-off:
Edwards - 53%
Rispone - 47%

Mississippi
Reeves - 53%
Hood - 46%
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2019, 03:24:12 PM »
Kentucky
Bevin 50%
Beshear 47%

Louisiana
Edwards 51%
Rispone 25%
Abraham 20%

Mississippi
Reeves 52%
Hood 46%
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #3 on: September 27, 2019, 03:33:55 PM »
Won't change my MS and KY predictions cause we haven't had a poll in ages??

Louisiana:

Edwards 48
Rispone 23
Abraham 22
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: September 27, 2019, 03:42:10 PM »
KY
Beshear 51
Bevin 49

LA
JBE will win regardless

MS
Reeves 53
Hood 47
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Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸
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« Reply #5 on: September 27, 2019, 04:19:32 PM »
« Edited: September 27, 2019, 06:44:23 PM by Thunder98 »
As of 9/27/19

Kentucky:

Bevin: 53%
Beshear: 46%

Mississippi:

Reeves: 53%
Hood: 46%
Other 1%

Louisiana:

Edwards 46%
Rispone 26%
Abraham 21%
Landrieu 4%
Landry 2%
Dantzler 1%

Runoff

Edwards 52%
Rispone 48%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: September 27, 2019, 04:55:46 PM »
I know everyone is counting out Beshear, he will win.
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #7 on: September 27, 2019, 04:57:25 PM »
Mississippi

Reeves : 54%
Hood : 45%

Kentucky

Bevin : 51%
Beshear : 44%

Louisiana

Jungle :
JBE : 46%
Rispone : 26%
Abraham : 24%
Others : 4%

Runoff :
JBE : 52%
Rispone : 48%
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: September 27, 2019, 06:31:59 PM »
Kentucky
Bevin (R): 62.52%  
Beshear (D): 32.68%

Mississippi
Reeves (R): 57.86%
Hood (D): 40.06%

Louisiana
Runoff:
Rispone (R): 58.09%
JBE (D): 38.45%

Analysis:
- impeachment backlash
- polarization
- Trump rallies
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: September 27, 2019, 06:36:52 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 27, 2019, 06:31:59 PM
Kentucky
Bevin (R): 62.52%  
Beshear (D): 32.68%

Mississippi
Reeves (R): 57.86%
Hood (D): 40.06%

Louisiana
Runoff:
Rispone (R): 58.09%
JBE (D): 38.45%

Analysis:
- impeachment backlash
- polarization
- Trump rallies

Bevin isn't going to win 60%
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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #10 on: September 27, 2019, 06:43:26 PM »
Beshar + 2

JBE 50.5%

Reeves + 5
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #11 on: September 27, 2019, 06:50:48 PM »
KY

Bevin 52-44

MS

Reeves 55-41

LA

Runoff: Rispone/Abraham 52-48 
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Frodo
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« Reply #12 on: September 27, 2019, 09:59:00 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on September 27, 2019, 06:31:59 PM
Kentucky
Bevin (R): 62.52%  
Beshear (D): 32.68%

Mississippi
Reeves (R): 57.86%
Hood (D): 40.06%

Louisiana
Runoff:
Rispone (R): 58.09%
JBE (D): 38.45%

Analysis:
- impeachment backlash
- polarization
- Trump rallies

I wonder, can you see Republicans in the Mississippi and Louisiana legislatures gaining even more seats than they already have, and if so, how many?
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Burke Bro
omelott
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« Reply #13 on: September 27, 2019, 10:05:30 PM »
« Edited: September 27, 2019, 10:12:44 PM by omelott »
Kentucky

Bevin (R): 52%
Beshear (D): 43%

Mississippi

Reeves (R): 55%
Hood (D): 44%

Louisiana

Edwards (D): 45%
Rispone (R): 29%
Abraham (R): 22%

Rispone (R): 53%
Edwards (D): 47%
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andjey
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2019, 12:00:00 PM »
Kentucky

Beshear: 48% (-1%)
Bevin: 47%

Louisiana

Edwards: 50%
Rispone: 25%
Abraham 20
Others: 5%

Mississippi

Reeves: 50%
Hood: 48%
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: September 28, 2019, 02:15:05 PM »
Beshear will win
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