Another "Election maps of previous posters" thread
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  Another "Election maps of previous posters" thread
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Author Topic: Another "Election maps of previous posters" thread  (Read 3762 times)
OBD
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #50 on: February 26, 2020, 03:19:17 PM »

In an alternate universe, Penn_Quaker_Girl narrowly defeats WM. 4 years later, WM, who's still popular in the party, runs again, but the primary quickly turns into a 5-way slugfest when MB, Santander, thumb21, and I jump in. MB wins Iowa narrowly with Santander coming in second. New Hampshire, on the other hand, is won by thumb, with MB and WM narrowly trailing. I bank my campaign's fortunes on Nevada, and narrowly win there with MB and WM again occupying the remainder of the podium. WM then gets a strong win in SC before Super Tuesday, eking out a narrow delegate lead with MB and thumb hot on his heels (Santander and I trail). Before Super Tuesday, the campaign takes on a regional character, with each candidate attempting to consolidate in their own regions.

On Super Tuesday, WM sweeps the South and thumb sweeps the Northeast, while the other three candidates fight over the scraps. My campaign wins Colorado after a concerted push there, while MB takes California, Minnesota, and Utah. Santander manages to pull out a narrow victory in Tennessee and a shocker in Oklahoma, and with all campaigns emerging with a win no one drops out.

On March 10th, thumb takes Michigan in a closely fought battle, while WM consolidates in the South by taking Missouri and Mississippi over Santander. Washington and Idaho are contested between the regional favorite sons, but in the end MB wins Washington and I take Idaho. A week later, I take Arizona as other candidates focus on larger delegate targets. thumb takes Ohio and MB takes Illinois, but Santander performs well in both states. Meanwhile, WM has Florida all to himself and wins convincingly. WM also takes Georgia and opens up a 200-delegate lead on MB and Thumb. In April's opening days, I get a win in Alaska while MB takes Hawai'i and Wyoming as the Western candidates continue to dominate that region. Other campaigns storm Wisconsin, but in the end MB gets a critical win there.

At this point, the campaign has largely consolidated into regional theaters. In the South and lower Midwest, WM and Santander fight for dominance while MB and Thumb try to pick up delegates. The Northeast is strong Thumb territory, while MB and I attempt to top each other in the West.

The Acela primaries are largely won by Thumb, but other candidates perform relatively well, having no other place to campaign. WM wins Maryland and Delaware, while Thumb takes the remainder. With a contested convention imminent, no candidate wants to drop out, as doing so would reduce their clout at said convention.

Santander and I both get victories in the Indiana/West Virginia and Kansas/Nebraska primaries, respectively, re-energizing our campaigns to a degree. Santander then pulls through in Kentucky, but I fall short in Oregon, as MB is a better fit for the state. The last primaries are mixed - I win South Dakota and New Mexico, MB holds Montana, WM gets DC, and thumb pulls through in New Jersey.

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=157o
West Midlander 1093 delegates
Thumb 937 delegates
MB 884 delegates
Santander 494 delegates
Oregon Blue Dog 359 delegates

After the first ballot, I drop out and endorse MB. The superdelegates come in strong for WM, though. Santander is the next to drop, and supports Thumb in exchange for a VP spot.

Fifth Ballot
Thumb 1670 delegates
West Midlander 1449 delegates
MB 1373 delegates

With the convention deadlocked, WM and MB make a deal of their own, with MB receiving WM's VP slot as well as a few cabinet choices. As a result, WM ultimately wins the primary.

I'm too tired to predict how the WM/MB ticket will do against Penn_Quaker_Girl's re-election attempt, so I'm leaving that up to the next poster.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #51 on: February 26, 2020, 07:26:50 PM »
« Edited: February 26, 2020, 07:34:22 PM by KaiserDave »

I don't know Thumb well Sad

So I will do PQG and OBD

This election is uninspiring for the fringes of both parties as centrists are nominated in both parties. Independent swing voters are pulled back and forth by candidates dueling by their ability to reform, streamline, and reach across party lines for results. However, ultimately OBD's New Democrat liberal centrism is far more palatable to progressives in his party than PQG's "almost left" Republicanism to the right wing fringe of her party. Therefore, with some surprises, the map ends with a Democrat win, due to stronger base turnout. Perhaps in a less polarized time, the result would be different.




OBD: 308
PQG: 230

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FairBol
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« Reply #52 on: February 27, 2020, 04:13:06 PM »

I kind of messed up on the map....but here's the delegate counts for Oregon Blue Dog v KaiserDave (for the Democratic nomination).  Nomination is earned with 2,117 delegates

To wit:

Oregon Blue Dog: 2,596 delegates
KaiserDave: 1,936 delegates

Oregon Blue Dog is the Democratic nominee for president. 
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #53 on: April 08, 2020, 01:34:35 PM »

The race is probably lacking in scandals and is issues-based with most of the map competitive. The race is a tossup heading into Election Night. The swing states are pretty much split with the Midwest divided and Fairbol doing better in the South while KaiserDave holds onto lean and likely D states in the West.

Fairbol being from CT helps him more in New England than does KaiserDave's being from New York. CT is within single digits and NH and ME-at large flip. Fairbol probably wins the national PV by somewhere around 0.4% in what is basically the reverse 1960 (the Republican candidate wins) of our time.

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John Dule
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« Reply #54 on: April 14, 2020, 02:52:57 PM »



I think this would be a very weird primary. FairBol is the more right-wing candidate but also has appeal among northeastern moderates. West Midlander is the moderate, and he comes from the south. I think this would shake up a lot of the regional trends, with FairBol running a more Trumpist campaign while WM tries to appeal to moderates, independents, and suburbanites. Ultimately I think FairBol is more in line with the modern GOP, so I think the win goes to him, but a lot of these states could be close.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #55 on: April 17, 2020, 12:13:19 PM »


West Midlander: 416
John Dule: 122

Obviously John Dule would probably never run as a Republican but for the sake of the map he is, and he is destroyed because of his strong atheist views and libertarian worldview. However this map is pretty much junk because John Dule is not a Republican. West Midlander isn't a Democrat either but I think he's closer to them than John is to the GOP.
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thumb21
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« Reply #56 on: April 19, 2020, 05:44:48 PM »

KaiserDave runs a standard center-left campaign while John Dule runs an unapologetic Libertarian campaign. While Dule argues very strongly for his ideas, KaiserDave is seen as a more moderate and unifying figure. Dule's strong atheism hurts him quite a bit among a large number of Republican voters, especially in the South. The end result is a PV win of something like 22 points for KaiserDave.

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S019
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« Reply #57 on: April 19, 2020, 08:59:40 PM »

KaiserDave runs as the more left-wing candidate, while thumb21 runs as the more moderate option. The race is close with thumb21 doing well in the South and KaiserDave doing well in New England, the Midwest, and Pacific Northwest. The decisive moment is March 17, when AZ, FL, IL, and OH, all vote for thumb21. KaiserDave drops out on March 20 and does not win any contests after that date.


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John Dule
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« Reply #58 on: December 07, 2020, 06:08:41 AM »

I'll bump this thread, since I like these new maps a lot and there isn't currently a thread going with this exact premise.



In a Democratic Primary, three wings of the party face off against one another for the nomination-- the socialist left (represented by KaiserDave), the moderate left (Thumb), and the authoritarian left (S019). The election is competitive from beginning to end, though Thumb ultimately manages to break through at the end with a series of decisive wins in the Midwest. Phil Scott's endorsement for KaiserDave makes Vermont his best state, and he generally performs well in the urbanized coastal areas. S019 finds his best margins in states where people's favorite pastime is getting their neighbors arrested for wasting water with their sprinkler systems.
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Goldwater
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« Reply #59 on: November 11, 2023, 11:03:59 PM »

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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #60 on: December 27, 2023, 03:41:06 PM »



Largely just a battle of hot v. cold, although Goldwater received a home state bounce in the PNW, and Mr. Dule barely took California.
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