Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 17, 2019, 06:56:35 am
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Speaker YE, Senator ON Progressive)
  SC-CNN: Biden +21
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: SC-CNN: Biden +21  (Read 819 times)
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,732
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 29, 2019, 07:20:08 am »

Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2019, 07:43:59 am »

Harris is behind Buttigieg and tied with Steyer.
Logged
Torranski
Torrain
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,035
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2019, 07:48:27 am »

Looking pretty bad for Harris. Wonder if she'll last to January if these numbers hold up. Nothing about tied with Tom Steyer in fifth place screams long term viability. Especially given that most paths for her presumably have to go through the South.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,377
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2019, 07:49:39 am »

A stark contrast here:

White:
Biden 29
Warren 28
Sanders 8
Buttigieg 8

Black:
Biden 45
Sanders 13
Warren 4
Buttigieg *
Logged
bilaps
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 715
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2019, 08:22:13 am »

LOL at Kamala not registering among black voters.
Logged
eric82oslo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,303
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2019, 09:04:19 am »

Happy to see Steyer almost qualifying already. Smiley I'm worried about Castro though. He'll need an awesome next debate in order to make it, and even then it might be too late.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,596
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2019, 09:17:56 am »

Warren is essentially the white liberal elite candidate & has taken a chunk of college educated liberal voters away from Sanders.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,295
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2019, 10:25:40 am »

Warren is essentially the white liberal elite candidate & has taken a chunk of college educated liberal voters away from Sanders.

I know, it’s great!
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2019, 10:47:22 am »

LOL at Kamala not registering among black voters.

She actually does though. She's at 6% which is better than Warren with blacks.

She's only at 1% with whites though.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,201
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2019, 10:57:11 am »

Full results:

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2019/images/09/28/rel1_sc.pdf

men:
Biden 40%
Warren 15%
Sanders 13%

women:
Biden 35%
Warren 17%
Sanders 10%

white:
Biden 29%
Warren 28%
Buttigieg 8%
Sanders 8%
O’Rourke 4%

black:
Biden 45%
Sanders 13%
Harris 6%
Steyer 5%
Warren 4%

college grad:
Biden 32%
Warren 30%
Buttigieg 6%
Sanders 5%

non-college grad:
Biden 40%
Sanders 14%
Warren 8%
Harris 4%
Steyer 4%
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 367


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2019, 12:23:03 pm »

Unsurprisingly, Biden dominates with black voters. 13% of black voters favor Sanders compared to 4% for Warren. STEYER and Harris are leading Warren in this demographic. Warren just isn't catching on.
Logged
Georgia Is A Swing State
RFKFan68
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2019, 12:24:20 pm »

Unsurprisingly, Biden dominates with black voters. 13% of black voters favor Sanders compared to 4% for Warren. STEYER and Harris are leading Warren in this demographic. Warren just isn't catching on.
*ignores two polls that had her in double digits with black voters nationally and well ahead of Sanders*

Steyer is not ahead of Warren with black voters. LOL.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,419


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2019, 12:32:53 pm »

Warren is going to struggle to get enough delegates if she is at ing 4% among blacks.
Logged
Still couldn't quell the Bel
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,427
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 29, 2019, 12:48:30 pm »

I doubt Warren will only get 4% once the field is somewhat smaller (and this is definitely contrary to other polls), but she does need to win more support among black voters. Either way, Biden winning by 21 is about what I'd expect.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,201
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 29, 2019, 01:41:07 pm »

Warren is going to struggle to get enough delegates if she is at ing 4% among blacks.

Here are Warren’s #s among black voters in the last round of *national* polls though:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=328382.150
HarrisX/ScottRasmussen tracker (weekly #s):
8%

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336933.0
Economist/YouGov:
18%

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336926.25
Quinnipiac:
19%

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=336832.0
Emerson:
20%

So even if HarrisX is right, and YouGov, Quinnipiac, and Emerson are all too optimistic for her, that’s still better than the 4% in this poll.  So maybe it’s just black voters in the South with whom she’s struggling this much.  I guess we’ll see, as we get more polls.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,770
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 29, 2019, 01:56:57 pm »

The big mistake of Harris, is she said leave Biden along, when asked about Biden. She has failed in every way to becone more , since her dominant debate, that isnt gonna move her polls.

Warren is the only alternative to Biden, as she has done well in IA and there is a hidden female vote in NH. Bermie tied in NV ismt gonna cut it, since he has lost support to Warren
Logged
President Johnson
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,377
Germany


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 29, 2019, 02:01:55 pm »

Great poll, South Carolina is Biden Country.

To be completely honest, Kamala should drop out. Even if Uncle Joe had a complete meltdown (very, very unlikely), I don't think she would gain a lot of traction. But as long as he's doing so well with African Americans, she has literally no path. Liz is more likely to cut into black support if she does well/wins the earlier primaries. Probably not enough to come close in South Carolina, but enough to give Uncle Joe a long run.
Logged
Dr. RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,652
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 29, 2019, 02:11:45 pm »

Overlooked here is how abysmally Warren is doing with non-college voters.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,201
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2019, 02:41:45 pm »

Overlooked here is how abysmally Warren is doing with non-college voters.

I would assume the college vs. non-college divide in a South Carolina Democratic primary is going to be more correlated with race than it will be in most non-Southern states.  Or in other words, how much of Warren's weakness among non-college grads in this poll is a consequence of weakness with non-whites, as opposed to the other way around?
Logged
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,640
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 29, 2019, 03:20:08 pm »

What's fascinating is that Steyer is now polling 2-3% in the 4 early states without having even appeared in a debate.  That's better than several of the elected congresspeople/governors who have appeared in the debates.
Logged
jeb_arlo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,063


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 29, 2019, 04:52:19 pm »

Logged
Deranged California Suburbanite
Fubart Solman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,259
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 29, 2019, 11:17:24 pm »

What's fascinating is that Steyer is now polling 2-3% in the 4 early states without having even appeared in a debate.  That's better than several of the elected congresspeople/governors who have appeared in the debates.

That’s what being a billionaire running for president allows you to do. Carpet the airwaves so that even the most disinterested voter has heard your name. Also helps that Steyer has a huge emailing list.

What will be interesting is how Steyer’s thoughts on impeachment will be accepted at the debate. He seems like someone who means well enough, but whose efforts may backfire on the Dem Party. Granted, over the last two weeks, the Dems have been given a huge opportunity with respect to a “clean impeachment” dealing only with the Ukrainian affair.
Logged
Mondale
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,978
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 30, 2019, 12:01:35 am »

Terrible poll for Biden. The Ukraine scandal is taking its toll. Biden was in process of rebuilding trust lost by plagarism scandal of 88 and now this? Its over
Logged
SN2903
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,963
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.35, S: 2.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 30, 2019, 05:34:32 pm »

Harris should drop out
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC