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November 13, 2019, 11:09:58 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Speaker YE)
  NH Saint Anselm: warren 25 Biden 24 Sanders 11
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Author Topic: NH Saint Anselm: warren 25 Biden 24 Sanders 11  (Read 1010 times)
marty
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« on: October 01, 2019, 05:27:27 pm »


Warren 25%
Biden 24%
Sanders 11%
Buttigieg 10%
Harris 5%
Gabbard 3%
Klobuchar 3%
Steyer 2%
Yang 2%
Booker 1%

https://t.co/qaDUo9neL7?amp=1
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Mondale
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2019, 05:29:15 pm »

Biden is done
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2019, 05:33:43 pm »

Can somebody post the changes from the last poll?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2019, 05:34:40 pm »


He should not be nominee, too many gaffes
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North Fulton Swing
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2019, 05:36:00 pm »


Great--a next door Senator leads by one point.

And think about it--no New Hampshire primary winner has gone on to win the election since 1976.
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Xing
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2019, 05:39:30 pm »

Not a good poll for Sanders, but I don't know anything about this pollster. A one-point win wouldn't be enough for Warren, but if this pollster has done a previous poll, it would be useful to know if this represents an improvement for Warren.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2019, 05:42:04 pm »

Biden has lost support among most internet users, the only people holding up Biden are the older Dem voters, thats why he leads in Dixie, where older voters are at.
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North Fulton Swing
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2019, 05:42:30 pm »

Big drop for Harris since last July's poll.  Warren rising as well as Biden (though less so).

https://www.anselm.edu/new-hampshire-institute-politics/july-poll-shows-biden-harris-warren-leading-new-hampshire
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2019, 05:58:20 pm »

This is actually a drop for Buttigieg and an improvement for Sanders from their last poll. Uh... okay.
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Solidarity Forever
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2019, 06:11:47 pm »


Great--a next door Senator leads by one point.

And think about it--no New Hampshire primary winner has gone on to win the election since 1976.

Every Iowa caucus winner has gone on to win the election since 1992, and Warren's better positioned there than in NH.
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Beet
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2019, 07:13:19 pm »

Warren 25% (+8)
Biden 24% (+3)
Sanders 11% (+1)
Buttigieg 10% (-2)
Harris 5% (-13)
Gabbard 3% (+2)
Klobuchar 3% (-)
Steyer 2% (+2)
Yang 2% (-3) (must've been the porn tweet)
Booker 1% (-)
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UWS
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2019, 07:34:29 pm »


Great--a next door Senator leads by one point.

And think about it--no New Hampshire primary winner has gone on to win the election since 1976.

Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary in 2016 and the election.
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Ξ
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2019, 09:48:03 pm »


Great--a next door Senator leads by one point.

And think about it--no New Hampshire primary winner has gone on to win the election since 1976.

Every Iowa caucus winner has gone on to win the election since 1992, and Warren's better positioned there than in NH.

Didn't Tom Harkin win the Iowa caucus in 1992?
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2019, 10:02:10 pm »

Great--a next door Senator leads by one point.

... and even though there is another popular "next-door senator" competing in NH, she's still leading.

And think about it--no New Hampshire primary winner has gone on to win the election since 1976.

That's as stupid as predicting a Vigo County win for the Democrats because the overall winner has always emerged victorious there since 1956.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2019, 10:11:03 pm »

Warren 25% (+8)
Biden 24% (+3)
Sanders 11% (+1)
Buttigieg 10% (-2)
Harris 5% (-13)
Gabbard 3% (+2)
Klobuchar 3% (-)
Steyer 2% (+2)
Yang 2% (-3) (must've been the porn tweet)
Booker 1% (-)

You know what they say in New Hampshire - live free or die hard.
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Arturo Belano
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2019, 10:34:08 pm »

Warren 25% (+8)
Biden 24% (+3)
Sanders 11% (+1)
Buttigieg 10% (-2)
Harris 5% (-13)
Gabbard 3% (+2)
Klobuchar 3% (-)
Steyer 2% (+2)
Yang 2% (-3) (must've been the porn tweet)
Booker 1% (-)

Wow, more confirmation that Warren was the main beneficiary of Harris' collapse.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2019, 10:38:08 pm »

Warren 25% (+8)
Biden 24% (+3)
Sanders 11% (+1)
Buttigieg 10% (-2)
Harris 5% (-13)
Gabbard 3% (+2)
Klobuchar 3% (-)
Steyer 2% (+2)
Yang 2% (-3) (must've been the porn tweet)
Booker 1% (-)

So Bernie was 5th place before? Yeah, this isn't exactly a Bernie friendly pollster.
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Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2019, 11:05:06 pm »


Great--a next door Senator leads by one point.

And think about it--no New Hampshire primary winner has gone on to win the election since 1976.

Every Iowa caucus winner has gone on to win the election since 1992, and Warren's better positioned there than in NH.

Didn't Tom Harkin win the Iowa caucus in 1992?

Yeah, I meant noninclusive.
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Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2019, 11:06:03 pm »

Warren 25% (+8)
Biden 24% (+3)
Sanders 11% (+1)
Buttigieg 10% (-2)
Harris 5% (-13)
Gabbard 3% (+2)
Klobuchar 3% (-)
Steyer 2% (+2)
Yang 2% (-3) (must've been the porn tweet)
Booker 1% (-)

So Bernie was 5th place before? Yeah, this isn't exactly a Bernie friendly pollster.

He’s still barely improving, if at all.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: October 02, 2019, 05:26:12 am »

Let's be honest - Harris was never at 18% in NH.
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Andy Beshear’s Campaign Manager
KYWildman
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« Reply #20 on: October 02, 2019, 09:51:04 am »
« Edited: October 02, 2019, 09:54:06 am by KYWildman »

Anyone who sees these numbers and comes to the conclusion “BIDEN is done” rather than “BERNIE is done” needs to go back to first grade math. And make sure it’s real math and not Bernie math this time.

Just to emphasize: Bernie won over 60% of the vote here in 2016. He has zero excuse to be sitting at 11%, less than half the number of two other candidates who are essentially tied. Even one poll with this result is an unbelievably ominous sign for him, and we’ve had several others saying pretty much the same thing.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #21 on: October 03, 2019, 01:28:39 am »

Anyone who sees these numbers and comes to the conclusion “BIDEN is done” rather than “BERNIE is done” needs to go back to first grade math. And make sure it’s real math and not Bernie math this time.

Just to emphasize: Bernie won over 60% of the vote here in 2016. He has zero excuse to be sitting at 11%, less than half the number of two other candidates who are essentially tied. Even one poll with this result is an unbelievably ominous sign for him, and we’ve had several others saying pretty much the same thing.

Wait Bernie won 60% of the vote in which '16 election in NH?

Not totally tracking your point....
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Crumpets
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« Reply #22 on: October 06, 2019, 11:41:52 am »

Anyone who sees these numbers and comes to the conclusion “BIDEN is done” rather than “BERNIE is done” needs to go back to first grade math. And make sure it’s real math and not Bernie math this time.

Just to emphasize: Bernie won over 60% of the vote here in 2016. He has zero excuse to be sitting at 11%, less than half the number of two other candidates who are essentially tied. Even one poll with this result is an unbelievably ominous sign for him, and we’ve had several others saying pretty much the same thing.

Wait Bernie won 60% of the vote in which '16 election in NH?

Not totally tracking your point....

Bernie got 60.15% of the vote in the Democratic primary in New Hampshire in 2016. If he can only pull 11% in a poll there, it means possibly an outright majority of his 2016 supporters are backing someone else at this point, which isn't exactly a formula for victory.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #23 on: October 06, 2019, 12:08:04 pm »

Bernie is screwed
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2019, 12:18:57 pm »

NH angry women love Warren, intead of Ukraine Biden
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