Why are people acting like hovering around 30 in a friendly state is great for Biden?
The question is whether he has anywhere to grow, because most of these candidates won't be in the race. Biden polling in first at 28 now could easily translate to Biden losing at 38 by primary day without a single backer of his leaving.
I fail to see why Wisconsin should be a good state for Biden? I would think it would be good for Warren.. lots of whites, lots of liberals.
This, and we've seen a scattering of reputable and non-reputable national polls showing Warren surging, perhaps even ahead of Biden. Instead, the two Fox polls today indicate Biden is not trailing or even tied with Warren nationally.
And I also liked this poll as a proxy for his standing in IA and NH -- if moderates, white Catholics, and non-college whites stick with him at these rates in IA and NH, he'll remain competitive.
