Guess how the above user would do in their home state in a presidential election
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  Guess how the above user would do in their home state in a presidential election
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Author Topic: Guess how the above user would do in their home state in a presidential election  (Read 1524 times)
Politician
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,986
United States


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E: -0.13, S: -0.87

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« Reply #25 on: October 10, 2019, 07:12:19 AM »

Win 57-39
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OBD
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,577
Ukraine


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E: -5.16, S: -6.26

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« Reply #26 on: October 10, 2019, 09:28:58 AM »

Wins easily - like any Democrat would in Massachusetts.
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Joe Biden 2024
Gorguf
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« Reply #27 on: October 14, 2019, 09:19:53 PM »

Wins, but not by a huge margin. I think something like 50-42.
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,977
United States


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E: -2.19, S: 1.22

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« Reply #28 on: November 09, 2019, 03:00:13 PM »

Yes, by 6%
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KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸
KoopaDaQuick
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,313
Anguilla


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E: -8.50, S: -5.74


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« Reply #29 on: November 28, 2019, 11:08:16 PM »

Lose 50-48
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YE
Moderator
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« Reply #30 on: November 28, 2019, 11:13:18 PM »

Falls 51-46.
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
Jr. Member
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United States


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E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #31 on: November 28, 2019, 11:17:54 PM »

Triumphs in the vicinity of 50-44.
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #32 on: November 28, 2019, 11:21:04 PM »

Wins one vote--his own.
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We Live in Black and White
SvenTC
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United States


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E: -7.81, S: -6.82

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« Reply #33 on: November 28, 2019, 11:29:14 PM »


Ow... Cry

In any case: 50-46 loss. Does fantastic in the urban centers and among university voters, but gets sadly annihilated by the Hick Vote.
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,977
United States


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E: -2.19, S: 1.22

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« Reply #34 on: November 28, 2019, 11:57:04 PM »

Loses with 36%
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538Electoral
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« Reply #35 on: November 29, 2019, 12:35:00 AM »

Wins the state 48.7%-48.2% Obama style due to home state advantage.
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Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
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United States


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E: 9.03, S: -0.17

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« Reply #36 on: December 20, 2019, 01:16:39 AM »

Wins the state 48.7%-48.2% Obama style due to home state advantage.

Wins state 53-45
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TDAS04
Atlas Star
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Bhutan


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« Reply #37 on: January 01, 2020, 04:00:24 PM »

Loses by 25%
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,406
United States
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E: 2.47, S: -1.05

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« Reply #38 on: January 01, 2020, 04:02:38 PM »

Loses 62-36
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S019
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Posts: 18,323
Ukraine


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E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« Reply #39 on: January 01, 2020, 04:36:13 PM »

Wins by a margin of 52-48
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Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
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United States


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E: 9.03, S: -0.17

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« Reply #40 on: January 02, 2020, 01:52:20 AM »


Wins 56-41
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538Electoral
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« Reply #41 on: January 02, 2020, 06:28:27 PM »

Loses by 62-36%.
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,406
United States
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E: 2.47, S: -1.05

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« Reply #42 on: January 02, 2020, 07:39:03 PM »

Wins 52-47
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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #43 on: January 04, 2020, 04:18:37 PM »

I have no clue which direction he leans, but I'd say he'd get around 3% as an indy.
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Esteemed Jimmy
Jimmy7812
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,406
United States
Political Matrix
E: 2.47, S: -1.05

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« Reply #44 on: January 04, 2020, 10:03:15 PM »

Loses 47-50
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S019
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Posts: 18,323
Ukraine


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E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« Reply #45 on: January 06, 2020, 11:51:55 PM »

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President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
Peebs
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« Reply #46 on: January 07, 2020, 12:44:00 AM »

Wins by around 15.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Belgium


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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #47 on: January 07, 2020, 06:37:16 AM »

Loses by 8 (sorry, i just don't think you're a great fit for NC).
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West_Midlander
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,977
United States


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E: -2.19, S: 1.22

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« Reply #48 on: February 19, 2020, 08:43:37 AM »
« Edited: February 19, 2020, 06:41:53 PM by West_Midlander »

For simplicity's sake (because Belgian elections are a mess, sorry), I'll use Kansas since you asked if you were a good fit for the state on another thread.

Running as an Independent without a Democratic opponent like Orman did in 2014 you might either win 50-49 or lose 50-48 in a 2018-like environment as a non-incumbent.
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Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
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United States


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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #49 on: February 19, 2020, 06:24:42 PM »

Loses by 1%.
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