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February 27, 2020, 01:36:13 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

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  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderators: The Chad Pygmy Marmosets, Apocrypha)
  2016: Kasich/Sandoval vs. Clinton/Warren (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016: Kasich/Sandoval vs. Clinton/Warren  (Read 379 times)
Kingpoleon
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« on: October 07, 2019, 03:24:45 pm »

Kasich wins NH narrowly after securing endorsements from Kelly Ayotte, Ted Gatsas, Speaker Shawn Jasper, and Chris Sununu. This, combined with joint rallies with Sununu, gives Kasich an edge, and he takes nearly twenty percent of the vote in South Carolina, coming within 3% of Trump, Cruz, and Rubio, the top three in that order. Kasich takes six of the state’s delegates, too. In Nevada, Kasich is endorsed by Heller and Sandoval, following which he takes roughly 32% of the vote in Nevada, beating Trump by just over 3%. On Super Tuesday, Kasich takes Minnesota, Massachusetts, Alaska, Virginia, and Vermont, cementing him as the main opposition to Trump. Kasich officially becomes the presumptive nominee on May 3, the day after Cruz endorsed him and the day he wins Indiana.

Kasich’s short list includes Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Martin Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Condoleezza Rice, Lisa Murkowski, Joni Ernst, and Tim Scott, but he eventually selects Sandoval to complement his electoral prospects in the West. Trump, Cruz, Carson, and Rubio all speak on the first convention night to unify the party, but Kasich officially, to the surprise of many, names Joni Ernst as the keynote speaker. The rising Tea Party star rallies many wavering conservatives around the campaign, and is compared to Sanders’s similarly rallying keynote address to the DNC a month later.

The debates are largely inconclusive, although Clinton does successfully make same sex marriage an issue at the first debate, leading her to seem as the winner of the first debate. The second debate on economic and healthcare policy is largely inconclusive, while the final debate on foreign policy, unsurprisingly, goes to Kasich as a traditional Republican on this issue.

Who wins and what does the map look like?
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Kingpoleon
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Posts: 19,855
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2019, 01:54:05 pm »

My bet:


350: John Kasich/Brian Sandoval - 53.0%
188: Hillary Clinton/Elizabeth Warren - 44.9%
Others - 2.1%
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