What will a future Democratic landslide look like?

[Calthrina950]

Given polarization trends which we have seen in recent years, what will a future Democratic landslide victory, say, in about 10-30 years, look like? It is obviously not going to resemble the landslides of generations past. How many counties would you expect Republicans to still win? Which states? And would Democrats even manage to gain a majority of the white vote?

Discuss below.

[Calthrina950]

This is what I would guess for an FDR 1936/LBJ 1964 scenario in the the relatively distant future (think 2040's).  The Dem is getting 60% of the NPV. 

This seems like a plausible map, given ongoing trends. It would be something if the Democrat did receive >60% of the vote in Kansas, though. Of the six times Democrats have won the state (1896, 1912, 1916, 1932, 1936, 1964), they have never won it by more than a single-digit margin. Of course, they have won by double-digit margins several times in statewide races, such as in Sebelius's 2006 reelection as Governor.