YouGov Blue/Data for Progress: Warren leads Biden and Sanders 36-23-15

[Sorenroy]

Sample size of 1,276 likely voters, conducted September 23rd to October 4th. Change is from their previous poll conducted directly after the June debate three months ago.

Warren — 36% (+14%)
Biden — 23% (±0)
Sanders — 15% (±0)
Buttigieg — 6% (-1%)
Harris — 5% (-12%)
Yang — 3% (+1%)
Booker — 2% (±0)
O'Rourke — 2% (±0)
Gabbard — 1% (±0)
Klobuchar — 1% (±0)
Delaney — 1% (±0)
Castro — 0% (-1%)
Williamson — 0% (±0)
Bullock — 0% (±0)
Bennet — 0% (±0)
Steyer — 0% (-)
Sestak — 0% (±0)
Messam — 0% (±0)
Ryan — 0% (±0)

https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2019/10/11/the-role-of-news-interest-in-candidate-evaluation


This poll is a little old (having been put in the field over two weeks ago), but I think it still merits being put on the forum. This is Warren's best result nationally or in any state (even beating out that Change Research Arizona poll). Also, for being three months ago, the change from last poll is incredibly stable. The only real difference are Warren and Harris's numbers. As for the Harris drop, a reminder that the June debate this directly followed was at the center of her massive spike in polling. Also, if you like crosstabs, consider following the link. At the bottom of the write-up there is an interactive that lets you play around with the numbers fairly significantly.

[The Mikado]

The difference from YouGov's polls for other clients, like CBS or The Economist, is striking.

[Pollster]

This is a likely voter screen, most other YouGov polls are registered voters.

[Holmes]

I wish.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

I’m sure Warren’s gone up by that much, but somehow I doubt she was as high as 24% in June.

[Tintrlvr]

This is a likely voter screen, most other YouGov polls are registered voters.

Bodes well for Warren in Iowa, in particular.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warren is the favorite now.

[ElectionsGuy]

This is a likely voter screen, most other YouGov polls are registered voters.

Then that should be a huge alarm for Biden.

[Xing]

I want to believe, but I doubt it's this lopsided right now.