SurveyUSA: Biden+10 nationally
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  SurveyUSA: Biden+10 nationally
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Author Topic: SurveyUSA: Biden+10 nationally  (Read 528 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 21, 2019, 01:11:11 PM »

Baggage that others see weighing down moderate Democrat Joe Biden is not yet bothersome to likely Democratic primary voters nationwide, who continue to prefer Biden to more liberal challengers Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, according to SurveyUSA research completed immediately after 12 Democratic candidates debated in Ohio 10/15/19.

32% Biden (-1)
22% Warren (+3)
17% Sanders (nc)
  7% Harris (+1)
  5% Buttigieg (nc)
  2% Booker
  2% Klobuchar
  2% O'Rourke
  2% Yang
  1% Gabbard
  1% Castro
  1% Steyer
  1% Others
  4% Undecided

Quote
About: SurveyUSA interviewed 3,900 adults nationwide 10/15/19 through 10/16/19, immediately following the CNN/NYTimes Democratic candidate Debate 10/15/19. Of the adults, 3,080 are registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 1,071 were likely to vote in a hypothetical Democratic primary "where they live" today. (Not every jurisdiction in the United States has a primary or caucus; not every American has a chance to vote in a Democratic primary, and by the time Democrats in certain states do get to vote in 2020, a number of the currently campaigning Democrats may have suspended their campaigns. As such, a nationwide poll such as this has greatest value when studying movement over time, from one poll to the next. Where, on this template, you see a "Triangle T", click directly on the "T" to open up tracking graphs that reveal SurveyUSA time-series data. Time-series data is not just available for the overall results to a particular question, but for every demographic sub-population. As is true with any opinion research report, the fewer the individual respondents in the sub-population, the larger the chance that sampling error and other error may make those estimates less precise.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollTrack.aspx?g=816abc87-7f53-472a-907c-2f8cf42ff90c
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2019, 01:32:31 PM »

Here are the full #s with crosstabs:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=3f8c15c0-bab5-4d13-b944-5b368f707417

men:
Biden 31%
Sanders 20%
Warren 19%

women:
Biden 34%
Warren 23%
Sanders 15%

white:
Biden 32%
Warren 25%
Sanders 13%

black:
Biden 40%
Sanders 18%
Warren 14%

Hispanic:
Biden 29%
Sanders 26%
Warren 22%

Catholic:
Biden 38%
Warren 19%
Sanders 14%

Protestant:
Biden 41%
Warren 16%
Sanders 14%

other religion:
Biden 33%
Sanders 20%
Warren 20%

no religion:
Warren 29%
Sanders 23%
Biden 21%

urban:
Biden 33%
Sanders 18%
Warren 16%

suburban:
Biden 31%
Warren 23%
Sanders 16%

rural:
Biden 36%
Warren 29%
Sanders 17%

Midwest:
Biden 29%
Warren 23%
Sanders 18%

Northeast:
Biden 41%
Warren 23%
Sanders 14%

South:
Biden 36%
Sanders 16%
Warren 15%

West:
Warren 29%
Biden 24%
Sanders 20%

2nd choice of Biden supporters:
Warren 31%
Sanders 24%

2nd choice of Warren supporters:
Sanders 31%
Biden 26%

2nd choice of Sanders supporters:
Biden 35%
Warren 26%

2nd choice of Harris supporters:
Warren 32%
Sanders 23%

2nd choice of Buttigieg supporters:
Biden 21%
Klobuchar 20%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2019, 02:50:03 PM »

The people betting money on this race right now are on crack. Biden is so clearly still the favorite (unfortunately).
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2019, 03:45:57 PM »

Biden is so clearly still the favorite (unfortunately).

Atlas may not like it, but Biden has never not been the favorite.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2019, 03:47:09 PM »

Biden might still be ahead, but even this poll still shows movement toward Warren. His advantage has definitely weakened since earlier this year.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2019, 03:57:39 PM »

Post debate bounce for Biden. Him being up in Cali proves it.  I guess Warren peaked already.
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