IA : Sanders is the only democrat to lead Trump (Emerson)
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  IA : Sanders is the only democrat to lead Trump (Emerson)
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Author Topic: IA : Sanders is the only democrat to lead Trump (Emerson)  (Read 1835 times)
Frenchrepublican
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« on: October 17, 2019, 11:25:57 AM »

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/iowa-2020-dead-heat-with-biden-and-warren-mayor-pete-continues-to-build-and-sanders-slides

Trump leads Biden 51/49
Trump leads Warren 51/49
Trump trails Sanders 49/51
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2019, 11:26:47 AM »



Trump approval: 44/47.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2019, 11:27:47 AM »

Seems realistic. Iowa will swing hard to democrats in 2020 but maybe not enough to win.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2019, 11:30:36 AM »

Iowa should be close, on average Trump is not liked there.
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redjohn
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2019, 11:38:29 AM »

Bernie is the strongest candidate electorally (who has a decent shot at winning the primary). Don't think he'd win Iowa, but if he causes IA to swing left by seven points or so you can bet he wins WI, MI, PA.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2019, 11:42:00 AM »

It's IA, and IA leans but like OH and FL and AZ, are purple states
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2019, 11:45:48 AM »

Bernie is the strongest candidate electorally (who has a decent shot at winning the primary). Don't think he'd win Iowa, but if he causes IA to swing left by seven points or so you can bet he wins WI, MI, PA.

I have serious doubts about his chances in the Philly burbs.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2019, 02:21:47 PM »

They should have polled Butch as well, he’s 3rd and Bernie 4th ...
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Mad Deadly Worldwide Communist Gangster Computer God
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2019, 03:05:18 PM »

I don't buy polls that don't include undecided voters and this poll is no exception.
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OSR stands with Israel
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2019, 03:33:29 PM »

Here's my prediction:


Trump vs Biden: Trump by 2
Trump vs Bernie: Trump by 4
Trump vs Warren: Trump by 7
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2019, 03:34:10 PM »

memerson lol
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2019, 04:48:55 PM »


They do phone polls instead of online polls, we know the polls were too rosey for Dems. It wasnt long before the numbers were gonnq get back to 270 ish like in 2016
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2019, 05:27:42 PM »

Clearly IA couldn’t possibly vote to the right of OH even though it happened in 2016 and Trump’s polling better here than in OH.

Likely R.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2019, 05:27:57 PM »

Emerson's no undecideds policy makes their polls automatic garbage.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2019, 02:13:59 PM »

Clearly IA couldn’t possibly vote to the right of OH even though it happened in 2016 and Trump’s polling better here than in OH.

Likely R.

This is most likely a Democratic polling high point in both of these states unless the economy crashes. It doesn’t seem like pollsters have learned much from their polling misses in the Midwest in 2014/2016/2018
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Politician
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2019, 02:17:56 PM »

Clearly IA couldn’t possibly vote to the right of OH even though it happened in 2016 and Trump’s polling better here than in OH.

Likely R.

This is most likely a Democratic polling high point in both of these states unless the economy crashes. It doesn’t seem like pollsters have learned much from their polling misses in the Midwest in 2014/2016/2018
I don't know what drugs you're on, but polls this far out in 2018 showed Reynolds ahead by 5+ points and DeWine winning in OH. Also, they showed Sherrod Brown losing his seat and Blum and Young getting re-elected.

But I get intelligence is not your strong suit.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2019, 02:25:06 PM »

Clearly IA couldn’t possibly vote to the right of OH even though it happened in 2016 and Trump’s polling better here than in OH.

Likely R.

This is most likely a Democratic polling high point in both of these states unless the economy crashes. It doesn’t seem like pollsters have learned much from their polling misses in the Midwest in 2014/2016/2018
I don't know what drugs you're on, but polls this far out in 2018 showed Reynolds ahead by 5+ points and DeWine winning in OH. Also, they showed Sherrod Brown losing his seat and Blum and Young getting re-elected.

But I get intelligence is not your strong suit.

Oh hi Politician! It seems you’ve awoken after being KO’d by your horribly wrong analysis on LA. #trendsarereal

I unlike you remember those Finkenauer +17, Hubble +3, Cordray +5, Brown+17 polls
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Politician
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2019, 02:28:13 PM »

Clearly IA couldn’t possibly vote to the right of OH even though it happened in 2016 and Trump’s polling better here than in OH.

Likely R.

This is most likely a Democratic polling high point in both of these states unless the economy crashes. It doesn’t seem like pollsters have learned much from their polling misses in the Midwest in 2014/2016/2018
I don't know what drugs you're on, but polls this far out in 2018 showed Reynolds ahead by 5+ points and DeWine winning in OH. Also, they showed Sherrod Brown losing his seat and Blum and Young getting re-elected.

But I get intelligence is not your strong suit.

Oh hi Politician! It seems you’ve awoken after being KO’d by your horribly wrong analysis on LA. #trendsarereal

I unlike you remember those Finkenauer +17, Hubble +3, Cordray +5, Brown+17 polls
I was referring to October of 2017 you...it appears reading comprehension is not your strong suit either. Or spelling.

Oh yeah, point to a single post I made about Louisiana trends...I don't have one.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2019, 02:34:27 PM »

Clearly IA couldn’t possibly vote to the right of OH even though it happened in 2016 and Trump’s polling better here than in OH.

Likely R.

This is most likely a Democratic polling high point in both of these states unless the economy crashes. It doesn’t seem like pollsters have learned much from their polling misses in the Midwest in 2014/2016/2018
I don't know what drugs you're on, but polls this far out in 2018 showed Reynolds ahead by 5+ points and DeWine winning in OH. Also, they showed Sherrod Brown losing his seat and Blum and Young getting re-elected.

But I get intelligence is not your strong suit.

Oh hi Politician! It seems you’ve awoken after being KO’d by your horribly wrong analysis on LA. #trendsarereal

I unlike you remember those Finkenauer +17, Hubble +3, Cordray +5, Brown+17 polls
I was referring to October of 2017 you...it appears reading comprehension is not your strong suit either. Or spelling.

Oh yeah, point to a single post I made about Louisiana trends...I don't have one.

I never said anything about your analysis on LA trends. Only LA. Check your reading comprehension Wink

I wonder if you’ll stick around on election night for the inevtiable Bevinslide?
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Zaybay
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2019, 02:48:27 PM »

The only number that should be taken from this poll is the Trump approval.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2019, 06:42:11 PM »

Consistent with CW: Trump win, but probably closer than last time.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2019, 07:38:44 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2019, 07:43:52 PM by Bernie Has No Path »

Seems like literally every Bernie hack on Youtube is releasing a video today on how this poll proves he is the best candidate. Hilarious.
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adamevans
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2019, 05:14:25 PM »

Imagine genuinely thinking that Warren is just Bernie but more palatable.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2019, 07:24:30 PM »

Imagine genuinely thinking that Warren is just Bernie but more palatable.
She's different then Bernie, which is exactly why I support her.
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