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December 06, 2019, 06:04:21 am
News: 2020 U.S. Senate Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginia)
  Ernst leads Greenfield 47/40 (Emerson) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Ernst leads Greenfield 47/40 (Emerson)  (Read 462 times)
Zaybay
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Posts: 5,640
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« on: October 17, 2019, 01:23:30 pm »

While it is Emerson, I do agree with the poll that the race is competative. Though it stands at lean/likely R at the moment, it will be interesting to see how it evolves.

The real story is this:

Quote
The Democratic Primary for US Senate is wide open with no clear frontrunner  - 74% of Democratic primary voters are still undecided. Theresa Greenfield is at 11%, Michael Franken and Eddie Mauro are both tied at 6% while Kimberly Graham is at 4%.

I cant tell if these numbers are due to Emerson being Emerson, of if this is the actual status of the primary. I would believe either explanation, TBH.
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Zaybay
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,640
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.25, S: -6.50

« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2019, 07:24:49 pm »

I dont agree that IA is likely to be the tipping point state(I would give the medal to NC/ME/GA for that one), but the idea that the race is completely noncompetitive is also nonsense.
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