MT-UM/Big Sky GOV poll

[MT Treasurer]

35% Greg Gianforte (R)
23% Mike Cooney (D)
16% Tim Fox (R)
8% Whitney Williams (D)
8% Albert Olszewski (R)
6% Casey Schreiner (D)
3% Reilly Neill (D)
<1% Gary Perry (R)

http://bit.ly/2LVT06u

Obviously not a very good poll/pollster, but we probably won’t be getting a quality poll here any time soon, unfortunately. MSU (Bozeman) is probably the best we can hope for, but they likely won’t poll the races before the primary is over.

[Skill and Chance]

Fairly hard to see Dems holding this.

[President Johnson]

Wait, since when does Montana have a jungle primary? Otherwise, the poll is worthless.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Wait, since when does Montana have a jungle primary? Otherwise, the poll is worthless.

Why is it worthless to discover that a state-wide elected official can barely get 1/4 of elected voters, and half of respondents from his own party?

[Pollster]

Only useful way to interpret this poll (and even that's a stretch):

Republican candidates 59%
Democratic candidates 37%

[Gracile]

Not a fan of this methodology, but it confirms that Gianforte is the favorite.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MT and MO and IN looks likely R as Dems look to win KY, LA, NC and NH govs. MS and NH can be rated as Lean R, but NH usually gets close towards election day