The Economist/YouGov: Biden 24, Warren 21, Sanders 15
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  The Economist/YouGov: Biden 24, Warren 21, Sanders 15
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Author Topic: The Economist/YouGov: Biden 24, Warren 21, Sanders 15  (Read 1365 times)
Skye
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« on: October 23, 2019, 11:15:10 AM »
« edited: October 23, 2019, 01:42:48 PM by Skye »


Will post the poll once they upload it.

EDIT: Full poll: https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/s96v7z4zoa/econTabReport.pdf
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Zaybay
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2019, 11:30:23 AM »

Yikes, thats a severe swing against Warren since last week:


Biden- 24% (-1%)
Warren- 21%(-8%)
Sanders- 15% (+2%)
Buttigieg- 8% (+1%)
Harris- 5% (No Change)
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YE
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2019, 11:37:50 AM »

Wtf is going on.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2019, 11:40:12 AM »


The race is very fluid right now. Polls have shown a huge chunk of Warren's supporters are still open to other candidates.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2019, 11:41:21 AM »

Yikes, thats a severe swing against Warren since last week:


Biden- 24% (-1%)
Warren- 21%(-8%)
Sanders- 15% (+2%)
Buttigieg- 8% (+1%)
Harris- 5% (No Change)

I love how this Morris hack uses the changes from last month to make things look better for her.

She is coming back down to earth even in her best polls.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2019, 12:02:16 PM »

Yikes, thats a severe swing against Warren since last week:


Biden- 24% (-1%)
Warren- 21%(-8%)
Sanders- 15% (+2%)
Buttigieg- 8% (+1%)
Harris- 5% (No Change)

I love how this Morris hack uses the changes from last month to make things look better for her.

She is coming back down to earth even in her best polls.

Due to Harris voters moving away from Harris to Biden
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Pollster
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2019, 12:10:11 PM »

Warren appears to be mildly damaged, but at nobody's gain in particular.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2019, 12:17:43 PM »

Medicare for all isnt all that popular, even among Dems, voters are struggling with bills, childcare, rent and utilities and affordable housing
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2019, 12:34:50 PM »

Here’s the poll:

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/s96v7z4zoa/econTabReport.pdf

Dems:
Biden 24%
Warren 21%
Sanders 15%
Buttigieg 8%
Harris 5%
Yang 3%
Gabbard 3%
O’Rourke 2%
Booker 2%
Steyer 1%
Castro 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Ryan 1%
Williamson 1%
Delaney, Bullock, Messam, Sestak 0%

white:
Warren 24%
Biden 21%
Sanders 15%
Buttigieg 10%

black:
Biden 37%
Sanders 16%
Warren 12%
Harris 11%

Hispanic:
Biden 24%
Warren 22%
Sanders 15%
O’Rourke 8%

Midwest: Warren +2 over Biden
Northeast: Warren +8 over Biden
South: Biden +8 over Warren
West: Biden +5 over Sanders and Warren

GOP:
Trump 87%
Sanford 3%
Walsh 1%
Weld 1%
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Pollster
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2019, 03:24:07 PM »

Very interesting to see the conservative Democratic primary voters' second choices here. A good chunk of them go to Klobuchar, Gabbard, O'Rourke, and Bennet. Suggests that a Biden collapse (should it come) could be even better for Warren/Sanders than cw already believes.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2019, 04:11:22 PM »

I like Warren, but part of me is once again hoping Biden wins just because the immense salt from certain people here and elsewhere would be amazing.

I think I'm finally starting to understand the GOP's "own the libs" mentality.
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: October 23, 2019, 04:49:11 PM »

Not great for Warren, but too soon to say that she's collapsing.

I think I'm finally starting to understand the GOP's "own the libs" mentality.

It's a lot like cocaine. It might feel great in the moment, but it's incredibly destructive, to oneself and others.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #12 on: October 23, 2019, 05:48:28 PM »

Wait, are all these polls telling me that AOC had ZERO EFFECT ON BERNIE’s numbers!? How could this be? The Sanders people all told me this endorsement would shake up this race!
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #13 on: October 23, 2019, 05:53:47 PM »

Not great for Warren, but too soon to say that she's collapsing.

I think I'm finally starting to understand the GOP's "own the libs" mentality.

It's a lot like cocaine. It might feel great in the moment, but it's incredibly destructive, to oneself and others.

Your mileage may vary. I have a friend in medical school that has to be high in order to function
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2019, 06:34:15 PM »

Yikes, thats a severe swing against Warren since last week:


Biden- 24% (-1%)
Warren- 21%(-8%)
Sanders- 15% (+2%)
Buttigieg- 8% (+1%)
Harris- 5% (No Change)

I love how this Morris hack uses the changes from last month to make things look better for her.

She is coming back down to earth even in her best polls.

TBF, he's always used month changes.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2019, 06:37:22 PM »

Wait, are all these polls telling me that AOC had ZERO EFFECT ON BERNIE’s numbers!? How could this be? The Sanders people all told me this endorsement would shake up this race!

lol

1) Warren is -8 and Sanders +2 in this poll.

2) Most of the poll was done before she officially endorsed him.

3) Sanders is starting to catch up to Warren in RCP's tracker despite the fact that they're not including some of his best polls for whatever reason (AP/Ipsos, PRRI, Rasmussen/HarrisX).

I'm not even saying the endorsement will necessarily have a big impact or anything but your comment doesn't make sense.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2019, 03:33:04 PM »

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Warren 39/41% for -2%
Buttigieg 31/34% for -3%
Booker 32/37% for -5%
Sanders 40/45% for -5%
Bennet 15/22% for -7%
Yang 27/34% for -7%
Klobuchar 25/33% for -8%
Bullock 13/22% for -9%
Biden 37/47% for -10%
Messam 8/18% for -10%
Steyer 18/28% for -10%
Weld 12/22% for -10%
Trump 42/52% for -10%
Gabbard 23/34% for -11%
Castro 25/37% for -12%
Delaney 13/25% for -12%
Ryan 16/28% for -12%
Sestak 9/21% for -12%
Harris 30/43% for -13%
O’Rourke 28/41% for -13%
Walsh 11/28% for -17%
Sanford 11/29% for -18%
Williamson 13/33% for -20%
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Cinemark
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2019, 04:35:40 PM »

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Warren 39/41% for -2%
Buttigieg 31/34% for -3%
Booker 32/37% for -5%
Sanders 40/45% for -5%
Bennet 15/22% for -7%
Yang 27/34% for -7%
Klobuchar 25/33% for -8%
Bullock 13/22% for -9%
Biden 37/47% for -10%
Messam 8/18% for -10%
Steyer 18/28% for -10%
Weld 12/22% for -10%
Trump 42/52% for -10%
Gabbard 23/34% for -11%
Castro 25/37% for -12%
Delaney 13/25% for -12%
Ryan 16/28% for -12%
Sestak 9/21% for -12%
Harris 30/43% for -13%
O’Rourke 28/41% for -13%
Walsh 11/28% for -17%
Sanford 11/29% for -18%
Williamson 13/33% for -20%


Seems like polls are in disagreement about Warren's favorbility. Either she has the best net favourables of the top three or the worst.
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RI
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« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2019, 10:08:29 PM »

Midwest: Warren +2 over Biden
Northeast: Warren +8 over Biden
South: Biden +8 over Warren
West: Biden +5 over Sanders and Warren

Interesting to see Biden leading out west where most conventional wisdom doesn't give him much chance.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2019, 11:17:53 PM »

Midwest: Warren +2 over Biden
Northeast: Warren +8 over Biden
South: Biden +8 over Warren
West: Biden +5 over Sanders and Warren

Interesting to see Biden leading out west where most conventional wisdom doesn't give him much chance.

Almost every other poll has the West as his weakest region.  I think this is just an outlier.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2019, 04:29:04 PM »

Midwest: Warren +2 over Biden
Northeast: Warren +8 over Biden
South: Biden +8 over Warren
West: Biden +5 over Sanders and Warren

Interesting to see Biden leading out west where most conventional wisdom doesn't give him much chance.

Survey had Biden leading Warren by 15, other polls dispute that, but Harris supporters may very well go to Biden
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