Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 16, 2019, 12:46:43 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, Hash, Kutasoff Hedzoff)
  United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019 (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: United Kingdom General Elections: December 12th, 2019  (Read 59468 times)
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,537


« on: October 29, 2019, 06:29:49 pm »

So the union for Royal Mail has already voted for industrial action by 97% of voting members. The union general secretary is keeping open the threat of a postal strike during the election.


Logged
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,537


« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2019, 09:12:02 pm »

What would happen if the Tories fell around 10 seats short of a majority as they are now? So an effective majority is probably around 320 seats, and the Tories need at least 310 seats to be able to have the confidence of the House even if the DUP supports them. How would the UK move forward with Brexit if it's a bit of a status quo result, so like 315 Conservative MPs. In such a scenario Labour probably loses around 30 seats if not more.

The Tories probably can't count on the DUP anymore, not after selling them out to get a new Brexit deal.
Logged
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,537


« Reply #2 on: November 14, 2019, 12:26:40 pm »

What do people make of Corbyn saying that in a hung parliament he would not agree to a coalition with the SNP (and presumably the Lib Dems) and would force them decide between supporting a Labour minority or the Tories? I'd call it electioneering, but it seems pretty consistent with the Labour position earlier this year around the "national unity government" debate.
Logged
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,537


« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2019, 04:31:04 am »

I think it’s clear that the Tories will be the largest party. The only real question is wether they have enough to govern with the DUP. If so, they’ll have no problem passing their agenda for the next couple of years.

I think they’d have major problems passing their agenda with the DUP. The DUP isn’t ever going to accept the Tory Brexit plan, built as it is on essentially leaving Northern Ireland alone in the customs union. And if Boris “Get Brexit Done” Johnson can’t even pass his Brexit plan, what hope does he have of achieving anything else? Honestly, that’s probably the worst scenario possible Brexit-wise. No majority for a Brexit deal and no majority for a second referendum.
Logged
Dereich
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,537


« Reply #4 on: December 13, 2019, 07:40:13 am »

The Lib Dems could have made Corbyn PM and gotten a 2nd ref, now they get a Tory majority and even lose a seat. Utter failure

No, they couldn't have. The former Tories were never going to support Corbyn, even as a temporary measure. Giving Corbyn unconditional support would have tied themselves to him with nothing to show for it and this election showed that they were right to think of Corbyn as a toxic vote-killer.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC