Final Gubernatorial Predictions
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Author Topic: Final Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 6975 times)
President Johnson
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« Reply #25 on: October 30, 2019, 02:41:53 PM »

Kentucky
✓ Matt Bevin (R, inc.): 53.3%
Andy Beshear (D): 44.8%


Louisiana
✓ John Bel Edwards (D, inc.): 50.8%
Eddie Rispone (R): 49.2%


Mississippi
✓ Tate Reevers (R): 54.5%
Jim Hood (D): 44.1%
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Pericles
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« Reply #26 on: October 30, 2019, 02:44:35 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2019, 03:30:41 PM by Pericles »

KY
Bevin(R)-53.6%
Beshear(D)-44.3%
R HOLD

LA
Edwards(D)-52.2%
Rispone-47.8%
D HOLD

MS
Reeves(R)-53.2%
Hood(D)-45.5%
R HOLD

Virginia becomes a Democratic trifecta, in the CoD Democrats get nearly 60 seats.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #27 on: October 30, 2019, 03:05:53 PM »

Kentucky

Bevin: 47%
Beshear: 50% (FLIP)

Louisiana

Edwards: 52%
Rispone: 48%

Mississippi

Reeves: 51%
Hood: 48%

And of course, VA GOP gets blown out in the legislature for at least a decade
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #28 on: October 30, 2019, 03:07:08 PM »

LA-GOV: Edwards +2
KY-GOV: Bevin +5
MS-GOV: Reeves +4
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Gone to Carolina
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« Reply #29 on: October 30, 2019, 03:10:05 PM »

KY: Bevin +5

LA: Rispone +2

MS: Reeves +8


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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #30 on: October 30, 2019, 03:29:21 PM »

LA: 51.5-48.5 Rispone
KY: 53-45 Bevin
MS: 53-45 Reeves
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #31 on: October 30, 2019, 05:11:29 PM »

Louisiana
Edwards:  51.7%
Rispone:  48.3%

Kentucky
Bevin:  54.0%
Beshear:  43.7%

Mississippi
Reeves:  52.2%   
Hood:  46.2%
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #32 on: October 30, 2019, 05:21:48 PM »

Edwards +3, Bevin +6, Reeves +4
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #33 on: October 30, 2019, 05:38:06 PM »

Kentucky

Bevin: 49.3%
Beshear: 44.5%

Louisiana

Rispone: 51.2%
Edwards: 48.8%

Mississippi

Reeves: 52.5%
Hood: 46.5%
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #34 on: October 30, 2019, 05:42:49 PM »

Kentucky

Bevin: 47%
Beshear: 50% (FLIP)

Louisiana

Edwards: 52%
Rispone: 48%

Mississippi

Reeves: 51%
Hood: 48%

And of course, VA GOP gets blown out in the legislature for at least a decade
Bold on Kentucky. Care to explain?
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here2view
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« Reply #35 on: October 30, 2019, 05:44:35 PM »

GOP sweeps all three.

I hope I'm wrong.
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Roblox
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« Reply #36 on: October 30, 2019, 06:51:12 PM »

Kentucky
Bevin: 53.3%
Beshear: 43.0%

Mississipi
Reeves: 53.3%
Hood: 45.8%

Louisiana
Rispone: 50.6%
Edwards: 49.4%
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JMT
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« Reply #37 on: October 30, 2019, 07:09:10 PM »

Kentucky:

Bevin (R): 49%
Beshear (D): 47%
Other: 4%

Louisiana:

Rispone (R): 50.5%
Edwards (D): 49.5%

Mississippi

Reeves (R): 55%
Hood (D): 43.5%
Other: 1.5%
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #38 on: October 31, 2019, 12:49:57 AM »

Kentucky

Bevin: 47%
Beshear: 50% (FLIP)

Louisiana

Edwards: 52%
Rispone: 48%

Mississippi

Reeves: 51%
Hood: 48%

And of course, VA GOP gets blown out in the legislature for at least a decade
Bold on Kentucky. Care to explain?

Like I said in another thread, my heart says that Baby Beshear wins against America’s least popular governor but my head says that Bevin could win by up to 10 points because of Trump jerking himself off at a rally or two before Tuesday.
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Pericles
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« Reply #39 on: October 31, 2019, 02:35:35 AM »

Kentucky

Bevin: 47%
Beshear: 50% (FLIP)

Louisiana

Edwards: 52%
Rispone: 48%

Mississippi

Reeves: 51%
Hood: 48%

And of course, VA GOP gets blown out in the legislature for at least a decade
Bold on Kentucky. Care to explain?

Like I said in another thread, my heart says that Baby Beshear wins against America’s least popular governor but my head says that Bevin could win by up to 10 points because of Trump jerking himself off at a rally or two before Tuesday.

Tbh I doubt Trump rallies will have much impact, people usually overestimate how impactful they are. If Bevin does win by 10 points then he was always going to win and there'd be lots of other more important factors at play.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #40 on: October 31, 2019, 03:39:05 AM »

LA: 51.5-48.5 Rispone
KY: 53-45 Bevin
MS: 53-45 Reeves

Aight, I'll give in a bit, these will probably be way off but whatever





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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #41 on: October 31, 2019, 06:36:20 AM »

Kentucky

Bevin: 47%
Beshear: 50% (FLIP)

Louisiana

Edwards: 52%
Rispone: 48%

Mississippi

Reeves: 51%
Hood: 48%

And of course, VA GOP gets blown out in the legislature for at least a decade
Bold on Kentucky. Care to explain?

Like I said in another thread, my heart says that Baby Beshear wins against America’s least popular governor but my head says that Bevin could win by up to 10 points because of Trump jerking himself off at a rally or two before Tuesday.

Bevin, out of all the polls taken had lead in 1 poll in August. Beshear will win
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Historybuff1788
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« Reply #42 on: October 31, 2019, 09:53:07 AM »

Kentucky: Tilt-Lean Republican
Mississippi: Likely Republican
Louisiana: Tilt Republican (Flip)
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #43 on: October 31, 2019, 09:58:51 AM »

Kentucky: Bevin 51-45
Mississippi: Reeves 55-45
Louisiana: Rispone 53-47
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Epaminondas
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« Reply #44 on: October 31, 2019, 12:03:39 PM »

Let's give it a go then.

Kentucky
✓ Andy Beshear (D): 50.8%
Matt Bevin (R, inc.): 49.1%

Louisiana
✓ John Bel Edwards (D, inc.): 51.5%
Eddie Rispone (R): 48.5%

Mississippi
✓ Tate Reevers (R): 52.5%
Jim Hood (D): 47.5%
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #45 on: October 31, 2019, 04:40:01 PM »

Edward's a narrow win in LA. Mississippi closer than KY with both GOP holds
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #46 on: October 31, 2019, 04:43:18 PM »

Let's give it a go then.

Kentucky
✓ Andy Beshear (D): 50.8%
Matt Bevin (R, inc.): 49.1%

Louisiana
✓ John Bel Edwards (D, inc.): 51.5%
Eddie Rispone (R): 48.5%

Mississippi
✓ Tate Reevers (R): 52.5%
Jim Hood (D): 47.5%
Oh how much I wish this would happen.
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Vern
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« Reply #47 on: October 31, 2019, 07:46:32 PM »


Kentucky
✓ Matt Bevin (R, inc.): 53.4%
Andy Beshear (D):45.5%


Louisiana
✓ Eddie Rispone (R): 50.6%
John Bel Edwards (D, inc.): 48.2%


Mississippi
✓  Tate Reevers (R): 55.8%
Jim Hood (D): 43.9%
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swamiG
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« Reply #48 on: November 01, 2019, 12:43:16 AM »


Kentucky
✓ Matt Bevin (R, inc.): 53.4%
Andy Beshear (D):45.5%


Louisiana
✓ Eddie Rispone (R): 50.6%
John Bel Edwards (D, inc.): 48.2%


Mississippi
✓  Tate Reevers (R): 55.8%
Jim Hood (D): 43.9%

How is Reeves doing even better than Mitt Romney’s 2012 numbers against Obama in MS, let alone significantly better than Hyde-Smith’s last year?
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Skye
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« Reply #49 on: November 04, 2019, 08:08:49 AM »

KY:
Bevin 52
Beshear 47

LA:
Edwards 51
Rispone 49

MS:
Reeves 52
Hood 47

I'm not confident at all with these predictions. The lack of polls certainly doesn't help.
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