LA: Edgewater Research/Gray TV - JBE leads 50-47

[Terry the Fat Shark]

https://www.knoe.com/content/news/New-poll-shows-Edwards-and-Rispone-in-a-tight-race-564124691.html?fbclid=IwAR3yB7_I31ep0c9QUarvlekixUlA1bq2mxeKirrUcJfOqLIObhu_dMqQV8E

They did decimals, but let's just round because decimals suck

JBE - 50%
Rispone - 47%
Undecided - 3%

[MT Treasurer]

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

[jamestroll]

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!

[Bidenworth2020]

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!

To be fair, rural areas, particularly those in Acadiana, probably swing more d than suburbs, even now.

[Xing]

It's gonna be close...

[jamestroll]

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!

To be fair, rural areas, particularly those in Acadiana, probably swing more d than suburbs, even now.

Yes because they are starting from such a low number and eventually the GOP will have a huge problem with rural packing under present coalitions.

The dynamic of "big city" vs "us" dynamic will keep a significant number of suburbanites voting GOP for the foreseeable future but they will be a minority.

[Skill and Chance]

I do think JBE is narrowly going to make it at this point.   If it's Edwards with <52%, I wonder whether Republicans will get the supermajority in the state house?  They would probably be favored to defeat the 2 rural district independents, but there are also 2-3 R incumbents in runoffs vs. Dems in suburban Trump by single digits seats that JBE would clearly be winning.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Louisiana Governor by Edgewater Research on 2019-10-28

Summary: D: 50%, R: 47%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If true, def daddy

[Person Man]

He should be fine. Then again, maybe Trump will ignite the alt-right immediately before the election.

[ElectionsGuy]

If true, def daddy

lmao, what is this post?

[Person Man]

If true, def daddy

lmao, what is this post?

Apparently JBE is a gay sugar daddy now the way so many young men who are either wealthy, gay, and/or involuntarily celibate feel about Trump.

[lfromnj]

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!

To be fair, rural areas, particularly those in Acadiana, probably swing more d than suburbs, even now.

Jefferson Parish literally swung more D from 2016 than the state as a whole.

[Bidenworth2020]

Pretty much what I expect to happen (JBE by 2-3%).

In the 90s and 2000s when a Democrat won a red state it was because the rural areas swung and supported the Democratic candidate.

Now it is almost the mirror opposite. It will be GOP suburban areas swinging and supporting Jon Bel Edwards. The 2019 run off map will almost be an inverse of 2003!

To be fair, rural areas, particularly those in Acadiana, probably swing more d than suburbs, even now.

Jefferson Parish literally swung more D from 2016 than the state as a whole.

As did most of Acadiana?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

If true, def daddy

lmao, what is this post?

If this poll is true and he pulls it off like this poll says, he’s def an alpha chad daddy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

JBE wins