KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[bilaps]

First full county actualy has Bevin overperforming. It's Robertson county.

[DrScholl]

Not going to count Bevin out even if he is under performing a lot of places.

[OBD]

Early results are somewhat encouraging, but it's really too early to draw conclusion. Go Beshear!

[jamestroll]

Bevin isn’t getting the numbers he needs out of rural KY, not even close. It’s really not looking good for him.

If suburban and urban trends hold it may be over for Bevin. But still way early.

[BP🌹]

First full county actualy has Bevin overperforming. It's Robertson county.

Who or what is he overperforming?

[Tintrlvr]

First full county actualy has Bevin overperforming. It's Robertson county.

Would be a Beshear win on a uniform swing from 2016 (Robertson is Clinton 22%, Beshear 42%, so +20, Beshear needs about +17/18 statewide on 2016 to win) So who knows.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Bevin ahead by 1% now with 46/3659 precincts in.

[Gass3268]

New York Times is really far behind in some places.

https://twitter.com/drdesrochers/status/1191862739830034432?s=20

[bilaps]

First full county actualy has Bevin overperforming. It's Robertson county.

Who or what is he overperforming?

Himself in 2015. It's a small county with 5 precints thought. NYT and AP are late.

[Cinemark]

New York Times is really far behind in some places.

https://twitter.com/drdesrochers/status/1191862739830034432?s=20

Politico too.

[wbrocks67]

Beshear is at 65% in the absentee ballots from Jefferson County.

is that good?

[Bidenworth2020]

Beshear is at 65% in the absentee ballots from Jefferson County.

is that good?

That's really bad actually.

[BP🌹]

Beshear is at 65% in the absentee ballots from Jefferson County.

is that good?

That's really bad actually.

Yeah. I was feeling very optimistic, but this gives me some pause.

[morgieb]

68% is a genuine "holy crap" result. Those are the sort of numbers Beshear needed to win. Will wait and see whether the East Kentucky results hold as more precincts come in however - Kentucky's rural enough that if the early results don't hold the margins in urban Kentucky might not matter.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/1191863675658948614?s=20

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Bevin at 5.6% ahead with 79 precincts in.

[Tintrlvr]

New York Times is really far behind in some places.

https://twitter.com/drdesrochers/status/1191862739830034432?s=20

Politico too.

Here is Lex18's results page. They're way ahead of the national outlets but don't have a county breakdown online that I can find, other than for Fayette County.

https://lex18.com/election-results

[bilaps]

This tiny Robertson county also had much higher turnout, Bevin in 2015 netted around 40 votes there, now 105

[morgieb]

Beshear is at 65% in the absentee ballots from Jefferson County.

is that good?

That's really bad actually.

Yeah. I was feeling very optimistic, but this gives me some pause.

Yeah that's less ideal. O/c it's just absentee ballots, so the same rules apply to the early vote we're seeing that's good for Beshear.

[swf541]

Bevin at 5.1% ahead with 69 precincts in.

DDHQ has it at 114 precints and Beshear +4 51-47?

[Gracile]

High 60s in Lexington is insane, but it’s still early.

[Tintrlvr]

Beshear is at 65% in the absentee ballots from Jefferson County.

is that good?

That's really bad actually.

Yeah. I was feeling very optimistic, but this gives me some pause.

It's below targets. OTOH, it's hard to improve in places where you are already strong. I'd expect smaller swings generally in the more Democratic counties as compared to 2016 just by default compared to the counties where Trump won 70+% of the vote. We'll see.

[Cinemark]

Bevin at 5.1% ahead with 69 precincts in.

DDHQ has it at 114 precints and Beshear +4 51-47?

They're using Politico/NYTs.

[Tintrlvr]

Beshear is at 65% in the absentee ballots from Jefferson County.

is that good?

That's really bad actually.

Yeah. I was feeling very optimistic, but this gives me some pause.

Yeah that's less ideal. O/c it's just absentee ballots, so the same rules apply to the early vote we're seeing that's good for Beshear.

Early/absentee = same thing. Kentucky doesn't have early voting, just (very limited) absentee voting.

[Xing]

Bevin up 5 now, Oldham just flipped.