KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[Mr. Smith]

I'll be posting the maps according to where everything stands at 10 PM, which is the midpoint for nationwide elections, and if it's still the midpoint this time, than everything really is down to the wire.

[Mr. Smith]

Politico has 13% in - Bevin leading by 4.7%

That's actually roughly my own prediction margin.

[Mr. Smith]

Bevin leads by 5.3 with 28% in. If this were Wisconsin, Beshear would be a goner.

[Mr. Smith]

Am I really the only one who thinks Beshear is favored? For Christ's sake, he is outperforming Bevin by 5-6 in eastern KY.

Considering the margin in Bevin's favor seems to be growing, and the current dearth in these urban areas...yes.

[Mr. Smith]

Beshear leads!

Can he continue this reverse Ron DeSantis trend? Or will the last of Western KY bring things back to the expected?

Feels like Wasserman may be jumping the gun, but regardless Beshear is within sights of winning and is going to keep it close.

Which is really funny to compare to all the people who saw results from Louisiana and then started screaming that Bevin was bound to win by double digits.

In fairness (myself guilty of this), the opposite happened when Bevin handily defeated Conway out of nowhere in 2015. Clearly Vitter was the inevitable one after that.

Glad to have been wrong then, will be glad now if things hold as they do now.

[Mr. Smith]

Is it me, or was Espy in better shape at this point in the runoff last year?

[Mr. Smith]

Amazing.

MS was supposed to be the possible sleeper according to Atlas, not KY. Whoops.

I guess Junior actually did do something right for Reeves-ey