KY, MS etc. Results Thread

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https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1191897959589240832

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how's mississippi looking?

Still no counties with anywhere near half of precincts reporting, so ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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DeSoto mostly in in Mississippi (35 of 41). It was 65-31 for Trump and Reeves leads 59-39.

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DeSoto mostly in in Mississippi (35 of 41). It was 65-31 for Trump and Reeves leads 59-39.

There aren't any complete counties yet, but it looks like Reeves is running about 5 points behind Trump in the ones that are over half in. He'll probably win unless there is something unusual about black turnout, or the rural NE MS whites come out for Hood in a way that isn't apparent yet.

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DeSoto mostly in in Mississippi (35 of 41). It was 65-31 for Trump and Reeves leads 59-39.

There aren't any complete counties yet, but it looks like Reeves is running about 5 points behind Trump in the ones that are over half in. He'll probably win unless there is something unusual about black turnout, or the rural NE MS whites come out for Hood in a way that isn't apparent yet.

First complete county:
Jasper - Hood 56-43. Was 52-48 Hillary.

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Hood is pretty much done.

You can't really say that with basically no Delta or Jackson or Hood's neck of the woods in yet.

But yeah, Hood is probably going to lose. He could have held the AG seat for life and threw it away. He should have run for Senate last year instead if he's tired of being AG, and he should have lined up a successor Democrat who's not an ACLU lawyer with no funding.

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Hood is pretty much done.

Given that he seems to be underperforming Espy, is it possible that Hood might lose by low double digits?

It's a little early to declare that with just 1 complete county.

To answer your question, yes it is possible, but he probably won't.

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Hood is pretty much done.

You can't really say that with basically no Delta or Jackson or Hood's neck of the woods in yet.

But yeah, Hood is probably going to lose. He could have held the AG seat for life and threw it away. He should have run for Senate last year instead if he's tired of being AG, and he should have lined up a successor Democrat who's not an ACLU lawyer with no funding.

Come on and give him credit man. Democrats both Statewide and nationally have been baking Hood to run for governor forever. It's been a recurring theme on Atlas and one of the few that actually matched that in real life that Jim Hood was the Great White Hope for Democrats hookah when in this deeply Republican state.

Federal races are just too polarized for him to beat CHS, instead he only would have further narrowed the margins some. I think Hood rightly saw both ESPYs performance and the overall Democratic Trend and thought this was his year. It just turned out that Mississippi Republicans actually had a decent candidate win their primary.

Sorry, I just don't agree with this analysis. I think Hood would have had a better chance of beating Hyde-Smith than Reeves, and an even better chance of just keeping the AG seat, which is considerably more powerful than the figurehead-ish governor anyway.

I think Hood was tired of being AG and wanted to go home to Chickasaw County. Just quitting would have looked bad, so he decided to roll the dice for governor, and if he wins, great, easy gig, and if he loses, no big deal.

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5 counties in now, Hood running 1-10 points ahead of Hillary. Not going to be enough.

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Assuming Jim Hood loses the governor's race, does anyone see him running for another statewide office?  Or have Republicans just slain their last white southern Democratic dragon in the state who could still mount a competitive campaign?  

The latter. He'll never be heard from again, just like Mike Moore last decade.

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So Jay Hughes spent a whole year campaigning and spent lots of time and money trying to get the Lt. Gov. seat in MS, and he's going down 60-40 just like all the no-names for other races who didn't campaign at all. Ouch.

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Maybe its early, but Mississippi is closer than i thought it'd be.

MS does seem close all of a sudden, but the state is so racially polarised, that it may just be a case of waiting for a vote dump from some white, conservative precincts that return it to the 10 point Reeves lead.

Lol, you were saying.

Still, not a bad performance from Hood all things considered.

Yeah, if the final margin is 53-46, Dems have nothing to be ashamed of.

Well, other than throwing away the AG seat in a vain attempt to get a figurehead governorship, but nothing to be ashamed of on the margin.

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In MS state senate news, the one outspokenly liberal white member of the state senate (Debbie Dawkins) got primaried out by some clown in August, and unsurprisingly, that clown lost the seat to a Republican tonight. It is shocking how incompetent the Mississippi Democratic Party is at managing the legislative elections.

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MS----Rankin just dumped now 58% in 64-35 R with a + 11k R.

That's actually a strong performance for Hood, 13 points ahead of Hillary in Reeves's home county. If he'd done that everywhere, he would have won. Very interesting dynamic in the Jackson metro area.

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Assuming Jim Hood loses the governor's race, does anyone see him running for another statewide office?  Or have Republicans just slain their last white southern Democratic dragon in the state who could still mount a competitive campaign?  

The latter. He'll never be heard from again, just like Mike Moore last decade.

Couldn't he be viable in like 10 years when MS is a more competitive?

Maybe, but I don't think he'll be interested.

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Hood needs to make up 40,000 votes. He could optimistically net 20,000 more in Hinds, but he's going to lose some (despite overperforming) in what's left in Madison, Rankin, and Lee, and nowhere else has any significant number outstanding. It's probably time for a call.

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Dem candidate currently only up 4 in the state senate seat that was redrawn this summer to make even a higher % black (it was already majority black and held by a Republican, who ran for Treasurer and lost in the primary).

The MS Democratic Party is a disgraceful catastrophe in the legislative races.

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Dem candidate currently only up 4 in the state senate seat that was redrawn this summer to make even a higher % black (it was already majority black and held by a Republican, who ran for Treasurer and lost in the primary).

The MS Democratic Party is a disgraceful catastrophe in the legislative races.

Looks like R+3 in the Senate to get to 36-16, assuming Democrats eke out the Court-mandated VRA seat that's still close.

In the House, Democrats actually knocked out an incumbent in DeSoto of all places. Go figure. Not sure what the swing will end up as.

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Madison County going Democratic is kind of a shocker. Hood didn't win Madison County in his 2015 AG race!

Trends are real?

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Hughes spent the last 2 years running for LG and is going to do worse than the no-name Dems who ran further down the ballot.  Sheesh. 

And it looks like his House seat has fallen to the Republicans too. Ouch.

Honestly I don't feel that bad for him. The guy has always seemed like kind of a slimeball.

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https://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2019-General-Election.aspx

The MS Secretary of State uploaded results as a CSV instead of a photocopied PDF (!)