KY, MS etc. Results Thread

[Gass3268]

One precinct, but it looks like good odds that Elliot will remain Democratic at the state level.

[Gass3268]

I have a hard time believing only 1,000 people voted early in Oldham County.

Kentucky has very strict absentee voting rules.

[Gass3268]

Every state should copy Kentucky’s early voting rules. #abolishearlyvoting

Yeah, no, make early voting as easy as possible.

[Gass3268]

Fayette County coming in strong for Beshear with high turnout.

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/1191859146741702657?s=20

[Gass3268]

New York Times is really far behind in some places.

https://twitter.com/drdesrochers/status/1191862739830034432?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/1191863675658948614?s=20

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/1191865207913680896?s=20

[Gass3268]

The very Republican Southern Kentucky is starting to report.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1191869535273529345?s=20

[Gass3268]

Many did, including myself. It's still early yet, as Jefferson County and Western Kentucky have yet to report. So we'll see. And I'm seeing reports that Bevin is hitting his benchmarks in other rural counties, like Robertson and Menifee, both of which he won fairly easily.

Menifee is only Bevin +7 with pretty much all precincts reporting. Bevin won it by 12 in 2015, so this is an underperformance if anything.

Then what I read was inaccurate. I was reading that Bevin won it by less than that in 2015. Guess it goes to show you the inaccuracies that can easily crop up. But we'll have to see what happens when Jefferson County dumps its votes. And Beshear is leading in Kenton and Campbell, the two traditionally Republican suburban counties near Cincinnati that will be essential for him to win.

And unfortunately Kenton and Campbell are going to have some really crazy swings depending on what precicents are reporting.

[Gass3268]

Boone County is 80% in and Bevin is currently up by 15 points. He won it by 35 points in 2015, so, you know.

Suburban trends!

[Gass3268]

It doesn't look good for Beshear right now.

Is it still too early to tell or is this a good indication right now?

Beshear is hitting is targets in most places.

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1191871247182897152?s=20

[Gass3268]

Franklin County's all in. Bevin's getting 36.1, he got 35.2 in 2015.

Still a net for Beshear as he improves on Conway from to 58.3 to 61.5.

[Gass3268]

VPAP and State Board of Elections are both down in Virginia.

[Gass3268]

A write in candate in Virginia is beating the democrat

Is that the district where the Republican had no choice but to run as a write-in?

Right.  Freitas (the incumbent) missed the deadline to file his paperwork to get on the ballot.

How do they know this? I thought write-in voting wasn't happening until later?

[Gass3268]

Beshear is up by ~10 in Warren County (Bowling Green) with almost 50% reporting.

[Gass3268]

Democrats won a seat on the Kentucky Supreme Court.

https://twitter.com/RuralChrisLee/status/1191901632734384128?s=20

[Gass3268]

Democrats have now flipped Delaware County, PA and Loudon County, VA at the local level.

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/1191917764581175298?s=20

[Gass3268]

Democrats also took control of Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Lehigh counties in Pennsylvania last night.

Also a Working Families Party knocked off a Republican in the City of Philadelphia.

https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1192058107364564993?s=20
 

[Gass3268]

It is plausible if Trump had not gotten involved Bevin might have lost by 4-5% and the dems might have won the SOS race.

It's also plausible that if Trump had stayed away, Democrats might have been slightly less energized, and it would have only taken a small difference to give Bevin the win.  Neither assertion is provable.

Local Kentucky reporter said last night that he thinks that Trump's visit to Lexington helped boost Democratic voters there.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1192172785180774400?s=20

[Gass3268]

Team McConnell also seems fairly happy with the results.

https://twitter.com/joesonka/status/1192419551046184961?s=20

[Gass3268]

Democrats ended up winning the joint vote of KY, LA, and MS with everything certified.

https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1203782843148705792?s=20