2024: Primary and General Election
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 08:35:22 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Alternative Elections (Moderator: Dereich)
  2024: Primary and General Election
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2024: Primary and General Election  (Read 350 times)
terp40hitch
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,618
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 06, 2019, 06:24:47 PM »

How will it turn out? Joe Biden wins in 2020 with Stacey Abrams as VP but will only serve one term meaning both parties have an open field, here are the candidates:

GOP:
Nikki Haley
Dan Crenshaw
Matt Gaetz
Mike Pence
Will Hurd
Joni Ernest
Chris Sununu
Charlie Baker
Larry Hogan
Marsha Blackburn

Dem:
AOC
Jared Polis
Stacey Abrams
Tammy Duckworth
Gretchen Whitmer
Roy Cooper
Tammy Baldwin
Tulsi Gabbard
Michelle Grisham

Who wins primary, General? Maps please
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2019, 12:03:03 PM »

Democratic primary: President Biden declined to support any candidate. Vice President Stacey Abrams has massive support in the South, Governor Gretchen Whitmer has support in Midwest

Average poll. National (possible before Iowa)
Gretchen Whitmer ~ 25%
Stacey Abrams ~ 25%
Roy Cooper 15%
Tammy Duckworth 12%
AOC 10%
Others 13%


Gretchen Whitmer wins Iowa, New Hampshire. Stacey Abrams wins Nevada and South Carolina. Gretchen Whitmer wins nomination in close race between her and VP Abrams. She chooses Abrams as her VP.

Republican primary
After Trump lost in 2020, Republicans become more moderate and anti-Trump

Fmr. VP Mike Pence wins Iowa, Larry Hogan drops out and endorsed Baker, who wins NH after that. Nikki Haley wins South Carolina. Charlie Baker wins NV

Charlie Baker wins close primary between him, Nikki Haley and Mike Pence. He chooses Nikki Haley as his running mate

General election

Gov. Charlie Baker (R-MA)/Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC) ~278 EVs; 50,4% PV
Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI)/VP Stacey Abrams (D-GA) ~260 EVs; 48,5% PV


Note. If GOP doesn't nominate Baker/Hogan/Haley, then Whitmer or Abrams will win the election
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 12 queries.