Michael Bloomberg 2020 campaign megathread

[jaichind]

In theory Bloomberg is not running yet.  He is just registering for the AL primary not to miss the deadline in case he decides to run.  His entire logic makes no sense.  Him running will just take votes from Biden and make it more likely that Warren will emerge the winner which he claims cannot beat Trump.

[jaichind]

Apparently Bloomberg will not contest the four early states and plans to start his campaign on Super Tuesday:

https://twitter.com/michaelscherer/status/1192929806704402433

And he’s doing this to do what exactly?

Save money? Hah.

Get a head start on building momentum in those states? I feel the best way to build momentum is to, you know, win primaries.

Seems like a losing strategy to me. Good.

I assume his advisers told him that the early states are about organization and advertisement spending so it is best he does not lose credibly by doing badly in them.  Instead, he is told, go for the Super Tuesday states where mass spends in advertisement is more likely to generate results and add to his credibility as a serious candidate.   

[jaichind]

I think his logic is if Biden crashes and burns in the first 4 states he would be in a good position to come in to take the Biden vote without being blemished by defeats in the first 4 states.  If Biden does very well in the first 4 states then the entire premise of a Bloomberg candidacy would not be there and Bloomberg will just drop out to back Biden.

[jaichind]

https://twitter.com/Chris_arnade/status/1227862668154953728?s=20

@Chris_arnade

Clear now why the guy hates big gulps

I totally agree with this advice for career growth.

[jaichind]

I think the punters are overestimating the chances of a complete Biden collapse versus a campaign in decline that cannot win but still get a bunch of votes and still a significant bloc of delegates.   

[jaichind]

Bloomberg is now leading the nomination odds and this thread still isn't pinned.

It flipped back to Sanders.  But the betting odds 2020 winner of general election clearly show that punters think Bloomberg has the best chance of beating Trump if nominated.

[jaichind]

All this talk of Bloomberg-Clinton reminds me of the photo in

"Donald Trump Still Has a Photo of the Clintons on Display at Home"

https://time.com/4169503/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-wedding-photo/

which has Clinton, Trump, Bloomberg and Giuliani in the same photo

[jaichind]

https://news.bloombergtax.com/daily-tax-report/bloomberg-to-propose-tougher-wall-street-rules-transaction-tax

From Bloomberg's own media outlet.  Bad idea.  Makes him look desperate to out socialist Sanders when he cannot win that game.

[jaichind]

I hope he gets done in by the other candidates on the debate stage.

But someone has to strike the first blow.  Historically in situations like this Bloomberg will get hurt but so will the candidate that attacks first.  Because of this everyone might hold back hoping someone else strikes first.

[jaichind]

Will Bloomberg get to bring his own box to stand on, or will one be provided for him?

Not sure about this one but I read somewhere that Bloomberg's driver license has an inflated number for his height.  Trump is wise in attacking Bloomberg on this topic as it will clearly get under his skin just like Bloomberg is right to attack Trump on how his net worth clearly outsize Trumps as that will get under Trump's skin.

[jaichind]

Bloomberg is 5'5.  He's listed as 5'8 on Google, which is average height, but when you look at pictures of him next to other individuals whose heights are known it's obvious that he's not.

For instance, he only comes up to about Trump's shoulders, and we know Trump is 6'1 because of pictures of him standing next to Obama, who is a known 6'1.

Correct.  Also in finance even 5'8" is pretty short so I can see why Bloomberg have a chip on his shoulder about this.

[jaichind]

Watching Warren roast Bloomberg on a spit over an open fire tomorrow will be glorious.

I have a feeling Klobuchar will be the one to lay the heaviest punches.

Depends on who is the most desperate to change the dynamics of the race.  I think it is just as likely to be Biden as Klobuchar

[jaichind]

From Bloomberg's own media

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-19/bloomberg-campaign-says-company-to-be-sold-if-owner-elected

"Bloomberg Campaign Says Company to Be Sold If Owner Elected"

Value of company most likely around $60 billion

[jaichind]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5o4p1ER8WM

Bloomberg politics "Highlights of Democratic Debate in Las Vegas" has none of the attacks that landed on Bloomberg.

[jaichind]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-20/bloomberg-edits-debate-video-for-twitter-campaign-update

This is pretty funny: Bloomberg News is reporting that the Bloomberg campaign is up to sneaky stuff

[jaichind]

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-03/bloomberg-concedes-only-way-he-can-win-is-contested-convention

"Bloomberg Concedes Only Way He Can Win Is Contested Convention"

Bloomberg's own media source admits that his only path is contested convention

[jaichind]

Bloomberg has actually been a registered Democrat for most of his life. He was only a Republican from 2001-2007.

Those were the worst years for anyone to be a Republican.

Not so bad in NYC though, for a local politician. Pataki was governor, and Guiliani was mayor (the latter was getting good press at the time after 9/11).

Bloomberg notoriously outspent his opponents in NYC. He spent $75 million in 2001 and a little bit more in 2005 (his private funds), setting records for a non-presidential election. His opponents, in contrast, used a public campaign-finance program centered on donations, which had a limit on how much money they could raise.

In 2001 Bloomberg was saved by 911.  Before 911 he was way behind in the polls and en route to defeat.  Then 911 response reset the race and Giuliani got a lot credit for effective response which he then campaigned hard for Bloomberg and got him across the finishing line.  Bloomberg should really think Giuliani for kicking off his political career.