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December 10, 2019, 12:24:48 am
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  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderators: Kutasoff Hedzoff, Apocrypha)
  2010 Arkansas senate: Bill Halter vs John Boozman
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Author Topic: 2010 Arkansas senate: Bill Halter vs John Boozman  (Read 108 times)
coolface1572
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« on: November 07, 2019, 08:19:48 pm »

Bill Halter almost beat Blanche Lincoln in the Arkansas democratic primary runoff. Lincoln then went on to lost to John Boozman by a landslide. How would Halter have done against Boozman?

Also, how would Lincoln or Halter have done against Jim Holt, who finished second in the first round for the republicans? If Boozman had just fallen slightly below the threshold it would have forced a runoff between him and Holt.
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TML
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2019, 12:18:22 am »

The margin would probably have been narrower, but I suspect Halter might have suffered the same fate as Joe Sestak that year.
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President Griffin
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2019, 12:26:09 am »
« Edited: November 08, 2019, 12:29:56 am by President Griffin »

Probably something like 54-44 at best. Even though Halter probably would have better consolidated a splintering left and kept more long-term Democrats from defecting, this would have still been one of the many examples throughout the South of an office shifting substantially to the GOP after the last Democratic incumbent to be elected during "the good ol' days" either lost or decided not to seek re-election.
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