IA-Monmouth: Buttigieg +3 (user search)
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  IA-Monmouth: Buttigieg +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Buttigieg +3  (Read 3576 times)
Dr. Arch
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« on: November 12, 2019, 01:40:48 PM »

Welp. He's my second choice among the top candidates, so whatever. He might well pull off an Obama 2008.

He's clearly connecting well with voters if he's surging in Iowa and NH, where he's laser focused right now. If he can replicate that nationally, we might have something here.
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Dr. Arch
Arch
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Posts: 12,453
Puerto Rico


« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2019, 01:55:50 PM »

Welp. He's my second choice among the top candidates, so whatever. He might well pull off an Obama 2008.

He's clearly connecting well with voters if he's surging in Iowa and NH, where he's laser focused right now. If he can replicate that nationally, we might have something here.

The issue is, Obama was already polling pretty well with black voters before the Iowa Caucus. But he was in a unique position to take the support Hillary had after he proved he was viable. I'm not sure Mayor Pete will be able to do the same thing with Biden.

That being said, Hillary also ended up winning New Hampshire and Nevada. If Biden loses Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada, voters of all races might start abandoning him.

Yeah, we'll have to see what happens. In the case of a collapse in Biden's support, I don't know enough about the Black community to know whether they would go Bernie, Warren, or Pete in a three way race with these candidates.
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