IA-Monmouth: Buttigieg +3

[Pollster]

Usual caveats that MOE is high here (around 4.6%, though this is lower than Monmouth's usual) and this poll essentially shows a three-way tie.

That being said, impossible to deny at this point that Buttigieg is rapidly gaining ground and Sanders has regained ground lost. Will be interesting to see if Buttigieg goes the Ben Carson way or the Barack Obama way.

[Pollster]

I could easily see Gabbard sneaking up in Iowa to maybe 5-7% and I think Amy could get 10-12%

Both would still be inviable and not receive any delegates. In many precincts their supporters would likely be reallocated to their second choice, further diminishing their showing. Its a system that rewards both strong statewide organization and candidates with large bases contained in small areas.