IA-Monmouth: Buttigieg +3

[Tender Branson]

Not surprising.

After all, IA is a really good fit for Mayor Pete. IA voters do not really want to embrace the quite leftist views of Warren/Sanders and want a more moderate approach.

Of course, in 2016 Sanders got almost 50% with the same views - but that was more a vote against Hillary than a vote for his views ...

[Tender Branson]

Fitting:

2020 Dems Mock Buttigieg’s Youth and Inexperience

Several top 2020 Democratic contenders are taking shots at South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg.

A New York Times report reveals that the widespread annoyance comes after Buttigieg declared last week that the Democratic primary race was a "two-way" race between him and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.).

Link

This worked so well here for example ...

Everyone attacked Sebastian Kurz for being "inexperienced" and "young" and then he became Chancellor and was re-elected in a landslide at age 33 ...

[Tender Branson]

Headlines like these

https://news.yahoo.com/poll-buttigieg-first-iowa-183001793.html

will push him up further by more than 5% in the coming days and weeks.

The question is:

Is he peaking too early ? I guess not, because in a month everyone is in Christmas mood and that usually lasts the whole January too. So Pete should sustain the next 2 months rather unscathed and win both IA and NH.