Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 12, 2019, 05:55:01 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Endorsements Close today at noon

  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, Speaker YE, Senator ON Progressive)
  GA-Zogby: Trump -5 to +7
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: GA-Zogby: Trump -5 to +7  (Read 1036 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 50,999
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 13, 2019, 01:28:58 pm »

https://www.zogbyanalytics.com/news/908-the-zogby-poll-trump-s-approval-is-decent-in-the-peach-state-bernie-sanders-is-beating-trump-convincingly-in-georgia-trump-is-in-close-races-with-other-democratic-rivals
Logged
Arch
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,644
United States


P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2019, 02:02:46 pm »

Huh... that's two GA polls now.
Logged
TWTown
GhostOfHuey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 274
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2019, 02:47:55 pm »

But I thought Bernie couldn’t compete in the sunbelt?
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,601
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 13, 2019, 03:27:31 pm »

Zogby has been way optimistic on Bernie, whom isnt a frontrunner, Warren, Buttigieg and Biden are.
Logged
skbl17
Full Member
***
Posts: 128
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -6.09

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 13, 2019, 04:51:45 pm »

Wow, we're being blessed with Georgia polls today, although they're far from the gold standard (Zogby's a C with a R+0.8 bias according to 538).

Anyway, Trump's approvals here (48/50) make a lot more sense than the uga poll (44/54).

I doubt Sanders is doing better here versus Trump compared to Biden, but the head-to-heads with Harris, Buttigieg, and Warren in this poll don't seem outlandish.
Logged
gracile
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,199
Switzerland


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 13, 2019, 04:58:22 pm »

It's Zogby, so this not the best quality pollster. However, there seems to be a lot of evidence that Georgia will be in the competitive range.
Logged
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,736
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 13, 2019, 07:36:40 pm »

It's Zogby, so this not the best quality pollster. However, there seems to be a lot of evidence that Georgia will be in the competitive range.

This. I think GA is about as likely to flip from 2016 as MI.
Logged
President Griffin
Adam Griffin
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,642
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 13, 2019, 07:42:53 pm »

Quote
Sanders 48, Trump 43
Biden 46, Trump 44
Trump 44, Harris 42
Trump 44, Warren 42
Trump 45, Buttigieg 38
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,309


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 13, 2019, 09:14:09 pm »

Anyway, Trump's approvals here (48/50) make a lot more sense than the uga poll (44/54).

Nobody's favorite argument, but these are within the MOE of each other. Likely that both polls are accurate.

On another note, it looks like Buttigieg's issues with Black voters might run deeper than just the primary. A Democrat who has been running for President for almost a year, is a top fundraiser, has generated plenty of free media coverage, and is considered as likely as not to win multiple important states should not be starting below 40% in Georgia.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,118
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 13, 2019, 10:04:57 pm »

Quote
Sanders 48, Trump 43
Biden 46, Trump 44
Trump 44, Harris 42
Trump 44, Warren 42
Trump 45, Buttigieg 38


Interesting how Trump is getting basically the same numbers against all the candidates.
Logged
TWTown
GhostOfHuey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 274
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 13, 2019, 11:21:41 pm »

Quote
Sanders 48, Trump 43
Biden 46, Trump 44
Trump 44, Harris 42
Trump 44, Warren 42
Trump 45, Buttigieg 38


Interesting how Trump is getting basically the same numbers against all the candidates.
Another interesting observation is that Harris actually polls higher against Trump here then she does in certain Midwest battleground states.
Logged
LCameronOR
LCameronAL
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 639
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: -2.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 13, 2019, 11:23:01 pm »

Quote
Sanders 48, Trump 43
Biden 46, Trump 44
Trump 44, Harris 42
Trump 44, Warren 42
Trump 45, Buttigieg 38


Interesting how Trump is getting basically the same numbers against all the candidates.
Another interesting observation is that Harris actually polls higher against Trump here then she does in certain Midwest battleground states.
Gee, it couldn't have anything to do with the racial makeup of each state, could it?
Logged
eric82oslo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,373
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 13, 2019, 11:23:57 pm »

Anyway, Trump's approvals here (48/50) make a lot more sense than the uga poll (44/54).

Nobody's favorite argument, but these are within the MOE of each other. Likely that both polls are accurate.

On another note, it looks like Buttigieg's issues with Black voters might run deeper than just the primary. A Democrat who has been running for President for almost a year, is a top fundraiser, has generated plenty of free media coverage, and is considered as likely as not to win multiple important states should not be starting below 40% in Georgia.

Pete seems pretty much dead on arrival in the general at this point.
Logged
TWTown
GhostOfHuey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 274
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 13, 2019, 11:26:32 pm »

Quote
Sanders 48, Trump 43
Biden 46, Trump 44
Trump 44, Harris 42
Trump 44, Warren 42
Trump 45, Buttigieg 38


Interesting how Trump is getting basically the same numbers against all the candidates.
Another interesting observation is that Harris actually polls higher against Trump here then she does in certain Midwest battleground states.
Gee, it couldn't have anything to do with the racial makeup of each state, could it?
Well, it certainly would be interesting if Kamala won Georgia while losing the Midwest. Unfortunately, it's not respectful to speculate on the dead, which Kamala's campaign effectively is.
Logged
TWTown
GhostOfHuey
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 274
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 13, 2019, 11:29:54 pm »

Anyway, Trump's approvals here (48/50) make a lot more sense than the uga poll (44/54).

Nobody's favorite argument, but these are within the MOE of each other. Likely that both polls are accurate.

On another note, it looks like Buttigieg's issues with Black voters might run deeper than just the primary. A Democrat who has been running for President for almost a year, is a top fundraiser, has generated plenty of free media coverage, and is considered as likely as not to win multiple important states should not be starting below 40% in Georgia.

Pete seems pretty much dead on arrival in the general at this point.
Despite all the hype about his recent surge in the primaries
Logged
Neoliberal EDUCATED Kansan
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,986
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2019, 02:17:01 am »

Zogby, but never really understood why people thought GA was much less likely to flip than NC.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 14, 2019, 08:57:09 am »

So Trump's approval is 48% but he's struggling to get past 44%?
Logged
SN2903
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,173
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.35, S: 2.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 15, 2019, 09:12:31 am »

Bernie's #s are so inflated in every national poll. He would struggle to get 45% in the popular vote.
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 419


Political Matrix
E: -7.81, S: -6.00

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 15, 2019, 11:08:22 am »

Bernie's #s are so inflated in every national poll. He would struggle to get 45% in the popular vote.

yep, every national poll is inflated for bernie. he would lose in big landslide.
Logged
TML
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,216


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 15, 2019, 11:37:05 am »

Bernie's #s are so inflated in every national poll. He would struggle to get 45% in the popular vote.

Says the guy who doesn't get the populist appeal of "socialism" to the younger generation.
Logged
TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,380
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 15, 2019, 06:21:35 pm »

Zogby, but never really understood why people thought GA was much less likely to flip than NC.

People unironically think Iowa and Ohio are more likely to flip than Georgia.

inb4 someone says KY-Gov
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,991
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 16, 2019, 05:31:18 pm »

More awful numbers for Pete. He should really just drop out now, most of the country isn't Iowa and even if he wins there he'll just be embarrassed in New Hampshire and especially South Carolina.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC