Why doesn't Wisconsin seem to have a clear political trend?

[Xing]

You do realize that you're triggering about half of the forum with this topic, right? lol

Anyway, while I do think Wisconsin is more Republican than it was during Obama's presidency (especially early on), I don't think it's clear that Wisconsin will continue to trend further Republican, and it might simply remain a close swing state. Part of that is probably because there are two opposing trends in the state. Rural Wisconsin is trending Republican, and even some of the less Republican-leaning rural areas (WI-03, for example) are shifting rightward. However, the WOW counties are shifting at least somewhat leftward at the same time. While they're still very strongly Republican-leaning, the margins have gone down significantly. Also, growth in Madison is another factor in the Democrats' favor.

Going forward, if these trends continue, the overall statewide trend will probably come down to which areas are gaining the most population.