Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread

[SN2903]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

the only thing that matters is 11.3.20

Tonight matters for redistricting after the census, and for protecting the Medicaid expansion.

I'm not against medicaid expansion

[Sestak]

It's over. R win based on what is out.

Hmmmmmmmm

[7,052,770]

If JBE wins, there's no doubt: the suburbs and urban areas are all that's responsible. Most of rural LA has swung 25-40 points to Rispone compared to 2015, despite JBE being a popular pro-life Democrat who gave hundreds of thousands of poor white trash healthcare and balanced the budget. Really no reason left to pander anymore...

What makes you think being pro-gun and pro-life only matters to rural voters? It's a big part of why JBE is winning in the suburbs tonight

The difference in the suburbs between 2015 and tonight is built off of a large cohort of GOP-DEM converts who didn't vote for JBE 4 years ago and who don't really care about all of that to the same extent; they're mostly post-Trump former GOP exiles. More than anything, these types are "anti-gun" in the way you look at them.

Let's also not forget that black voters are likely responsible for a hefty portion of this, considering JBE is only outperforming his 2015 margins in a handful of suburban areas (Jefferson - & Tammany by a hair).

Then why did they vote for Republicans in every other race tonight?

Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi just don't have a bench of well-funded, credible candidates for the lower state offices. Hell, I voted for 4 Republicans and 4 Democrats because some of the Democratic names on the ballot were random unqualified, non-campaigners who clearly weren't up for the job.

[Torrain]

Aged like milk
https://twitter.com/MeetThePress/status/1191847884611891200

[Brittain33]

It's over. R win based on what is out.

If "what is out" = Mississippi.

[Devout Centrist]

If JBE wins, there's no doubt: the suburbs and urban areas are all that's responsible. Most of rural LA has swung 25-40 points to Rispone compared to 2015, despite JBE being a popular pro-life Democrat who gave hundreds of thousands of poor white trash healthcare and balanced the budget. Really no reason left to pander anymore...

What makes you think being pro-gun and pro-life only matters to rural voters? It's a big part of why JBE is winning in the suburbs tonight

The difference in the suburbs between 2015 and tonight is built off of a large cohort of GOP-DEM converts who didn't vote for JBE 4 years ago and who don't really care about all of that to the same extent; they're mostly post-Trump former GOP exiles. More than anything, these types are "anti-gun" in the way you look at them.

Let's also not forget that black voters are likely responsible for a hefty portion of this, considering JBE is only outperforming his 2015 margins in a handful of suburban areas (Jefferson - & Tammany by a hair).

Then why did they vote for Republicans in every other race tonight?

Because nobody knows any of those other downballot losers and no-names.

Ok, but you were literally just saying suburban voters voted for JBE because they're exiles from the GOP who have lost their connection to it.

Didn't Southern D's vote R for years at the Federal level before changing their downballot votes?

[Lourdes]

It's over. R win based on what is out.

Are we watching the same race?

[Hindsight was 2020]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

Arrogance like that won’t make you a lot of friends here

I don't care . I'm a successful 33 year old Male.  I don't care what Democrat hacks on the internet think of me.

Stuff like that makes you come off as massively insecure

[GeorgiaModerate]

It's over. R win based on what is out.

Sorry, MS-GOV was last week.

[KaiserDave]

It's over. R win based on what is out.

Pass the LSD

[Oryxslayer]

For those who are saying 'this is just one gov race,' Louisiana just became a 2021 redistricting battleground. It has the AA pop numbers and dems have just enough power to make a push for a second AA seat. This WILL result in serious fighting and likely court battles involving the NAACP.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

JBE ahead by 1.4% with 96% in.

[Horus]

It's over. R win based on what is out.

lol what?

[libertpaulian]

Roy Cooper is probably breathing a sigh of relief tonight.

[Horus]

NYT calls it for Edwards.

[We Live in Black and White]

Hahahahaha oh God this is just carnage now. Baton Rouge just jumped JBE up to a 1.4% lead and New Orleans still has about a hundred precincts out.

[Bidenworth2020]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

the only thing that matters is 11.3.20

Tonight matters for redistricting after the census, and for protecting the Medicaid expansion.

I'm not against medicaid expansion

... but you support Rispone lol

[Brittain33]

AP Declared

[We Live in Black and White]

Game over.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

sad

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1195911619945123840

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1195913294437068800

[RI]

Glad to see pro-life Dems aren't completely dead yet.

[Storr]

https://twitter.com/BMcM2018/status/1195909126867603456

Wait Jindal got less votes in 2011 than Blanco did in 2003

2003:
 Blanco: 731,358    
 Jindal: 676,484

2007
 Jindal: 699,672    
 Boasso: 226,364
 Georges: 186,800    
 Campbell: 161,425

2011
 Jindal: 673,239    
 Hollis: 182,925

JBE already at 735,933 with 30% of Orleans left.

[Heebie Jeebie]

For those who are saying 'this is just one gov race,' Louisiana just became a 2021 redistricting battleground. It has the AA pop numbers and dems have just enough power to make a push for a second AA seat. This WILL result in serious fighting and likely court battles involving the NAACP.

It's hard to overstate how important this win is for Louisiana Democrats all the way down the ballot. Fair redistricting is absolutely necessary for rebuilding the state party.