Louisiana Nov 16, 2019 Run-Off Election Results thread

[Bidenworth2020]

Do individual parishes have a reporting bias? For example by counting the early vote first.

All of the EV is counted first in every parish. As for parishes that might be misleading at first, EBR, calcasieu, and Jefferson come to mind due to the polarized nature of said parishes.

[Bidenworth2020]

Is anyone going to answer my question?

It's hard to tell, since we don't know whether the early vote will be more Democratic or Republican-friendly than the Election Day vote. It was more Republican-friendly in the primary, thus results got more favorable for Edwards as more came in, but we can't be sure whether or not that will be the case this time around.

If the ED vote is more friendly/the same as the EV, Rispone is beyond finished lol.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/WestleyBayas/status/1195825076026925057

this is at 5PM, btw

[Bidenworth2020]

i really dont see how that NoLa turnout and this can both be true...

https://decisiondeskhq.com/louisiana-exclusive-poll-of-the-electorate/

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/WestleyBayas/status/1195825076026925057

this is at 5PM, btw

Do we know if this was 20% higher than the total October turnout, or 20% higher than it was at the same time in October?

In the case of the former, this might not be as good news for JBE as it seems: if this is indicative of very high turnout all across the state (1.7m+ voters), then Rispone would benefit more from that in my opinion. I think JBE's sweet spot in terms of maximizing his margins is somewhere around the 1.4-1.5m voter mark.

He said he expected turnout to go from 38 to 46 overall, which may indicate the former. Not positive though. Regardless, I would add that Couvillion said turnout reports indicate slightly above average Eday turnout overall.

[Bidenworth2020]

1 minute!!!!!

[Bidenworth2020]

here we go...

[Bidenworth2020]

literally not sure what to make of any of this. I guess Rispone is doing better, but I really have no idea.

[Bidenworth2020]

yeah rispone probably has this

[Bidenworth2020]

yeah rispone probably has this

Knock it off.

Edwards is on track to narrowly win the EV, if not lose it. Please explain how he can win...

[Bidenworth2020]

JBE leading in Calcasieu... ok I am happily gonna eat sh**t for that previous prediction lol

[Bidenworth2020]

Tide is turning against impeachment

... are you seeing the results I am seeing? Not that impeachment is a factor here really but...

[Bidenworth2020]

Wow, this is looking great for JBE...

In addition, Adams is winning against the R by 14!!!

[Bidenworth2020]

could rispone still win or no?

[Bidenworth2020]

Rispone up 7000 votes 67% in!

rural vote consolidation my friend

[Bidenworth2020]

Hallelujah! A great night in my state — not only for JBE but because of the victories in the House races. Very, very happy tonight.

congrats!!!

[Bidenworth2020]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

the only thing that matters is 11.3.20

Tonight matters for redistricting after the census, and for protecting the Medicaid expansion.

I'm not against medicaid expansion

... but you support Rispone lol

[Bidenworth2020]

Jefferson outvoted St. Tammany, btw

[Bidenworth2020]

When I'm right about 2020 I'll look like a genius

And when you’re not you’ll become a massive punchline here

I will be right . I understand politics better than anyone on here.

The 2019 governor elections are an absolute disaster for Trump and the Republicans. That's not really an arguable point.

the only thing that matters is 11.3.20

Tonight matters for redistricting after the census, and for protecting the Medicaid expansion.

I'm not against medicaid expansion

... but you support Rispone lol

how do you know ? I could care less about this race. I care about the presidential race and local and federal races in Michigan in 2020

didnt seem like that earlier in the thread bro

BTW, if Edwards can build his margin to be larger than 43k, dems win the total gov 2019 vote.

[Bidenworth2020]

I don't really care JBE won anyway. He's a DINO.

the dude is very much a dem, besides on social issues. if you did your research, you would know that.

[Bidenworth2020]

where can i see the victory speech from jbe?