POLITICO releases their new 2020 District Ratings

[wbrocks67]

https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/

[ElectionsGuy]

Their ratings are WAY too cautious, with the usual incumbent and 2012 coalition bias. They're like what Cook used to be (Cook is getting a bit better I notice).

[Epaminondas]

Essentially they placed every presidential state won by single-digits in the "Tossup" category.
Any one of us could have done that.
Boring.

And they give outrageous advantages to Senate incumbents, when 2018 showed how well that premise held up.
Leaving Gardner as a Tossup is beyond noncommital.


Also, they got the current distribution of governor seats wrong. It's 24-26 now.

[Gracile]

They are really stretching it with some of those "Likely" seats (MA-09, IL-03, NJ-04, NV-02, CA-03, CA-09).

[OBD]

Yeah, and the presidential ratings are also pretty weird. States like OR, DE, and RI are NOT "Likely D".  And if they're rating those states Likely D, they might as well rate states like SC, IN, MO, and KS Likely R. Sigh.

[President Johnson]

Lmao, considering Colorado senate race still a tossup. That's hilarious. Georgia is more of a tossup, which they have as lean Republican.

[Xing]

Based on their maps, I've decided to rate the Sun as "Likely Rising" tomorrow.

[MT Treasurer]

These are even worse than Cook's ratings, which I didn’t think was possible.