WI-Marquette: Trump in the lead

[2016]

IF Trump wins Wisconsin he is reelected. Simple is that!

Trump can lose MI & PA which he probably will.

However if he keeps Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and those 2 Districts in Nebraska & Maine he gets 270 Electoral Votes to 268 Electoral Votes.

[2016]

IF Trump wins Wisconsin he is reelected. Simple is that!

Trump can lose MI & PA which he probably will.

However if he keeps Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa and those 2 Districts in Nebraska & Maine he gets 270 Electoral Votes to 268 Electoral Votes.

Not if he loses Arizona which is quite possible.

I don't think he'll lose Arizona. Let get this straight: The Main Reason Democrats got so close there in 2016 was Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio which drove up Democratic Turnout. Democrats won't have that benefit in 2020.

Also, if you look at the Democratic Presidential Field, they are all to the left of Democratic Senator Kysten Sinema. Sinema won because she campaigned as a Centrist in 2018. The NY Times even reported a couple of weeks ago that Sinema would likely vote against Trumps Removal from Office should the Impeachment reach the Senate together with Manchin.
Impeachment will hurt Democrats biggly in 2020.

And finally Trump won in 2016 getting only 46,2 % of the Popular Vote. A new Gallup Poll pegged his JA at 43%.

Mark my words: If Trump has a JA over 45% he can still win the Election because the Country has become so polarized.

[2016]

I think Trump wins WI in 2020.

Of course you do, but the Dems are still divided in the primary and DNC Convention is in WI, they arent losing WI

LOL,
Democrats had the DNC Convention in Philly in 2016 and Charlotte in 2012 YET they still lost both States in the Presidential Election.
Republican had the RNC Convention in Minneapolis in 2008 and Tampa in 2012 YET they lost both States.

Having a Convention in these States means absolutely nothing.

[2016]

Hear me now, quote me later, if Wisconsin has Trump leading, then Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania are not that different. This poll may be an outlier and has some weird numbers, but Wisconsin is not an outlier in that group of states.

The huge Polarization in Country is the Main Reason Trump still has a very decent shot at Re-Election.

[2016]

Hear me now, quote me later, if Wisconsin has Trump leading, then Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania are not that different. This poll may be an outlier and has some weird numbers, but Wisconsin is not an outlier in that group of states.

Yeah. I know it won't happen but if Trump won Wisconsin by 14, It would be a complete and total WIPEOUT.

The Key State in the Midwest I think is Ohio. If Trump wins the Buckeye State by a similar margin compared to 2016 he'll likely win either WI or MI.